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[Red Envelope] Breaking the deadlock and crossing over? The Tang Dynasty has already fallen, yet they still generate electricity. Be cautious of new traps after disagreements.
External circumstances are just external encounters; internal cognition and character are the fundamental roots for standing in the market. [Taogu Ba]
Abandon useless emotional exhaustion, always maintain an inward seeking mindset, insist on review, regularly self-reflect on your own state, focus deeply on thinking, break through thinking limitations through repeated reflection, and expand the boundaries of cognition. Let yourself have the vision to see the essence clearly and the mindset to resist fluctuations.
Tonight’s review is relatively brief because we are only focusing on the core key points of the market, other distractions please go away. I hope the Tuobao friends do not underestimate the short article; after reading, remember to like, tip, support, and triple-click. Taoxian’s model worker daily review + morning insights also need data to boost morale! Don’t be stingy with ten yuan, because what my review and insights can give you are multiples in return. Don’t let the era of AI water articles and manual writing be in vain; I only wish to pass on more high-value content skills to you!
Almost turning the soil into intangible cultural heritage, chovy!
Today’s stock enthusiast notes’ first core point: Top features appear, watch out for double-head expected arbitrage
As always, let’s bring out our veteran (the index projection chart from the last century). The Monday projection chart has already proven its value today. We continue to use this chart to explain where the upcoming opportunities are, where to strike, what stage the index is in (main rise, oscillation, retreat), and whether new highs will be made in the future.
As for accuracy and value, look at the risks clearly flagged in my Monday acceleration day and last night’s acceleration day headlines. Then, the market feedback on Tuesday and today will tell you. By observing rhythm and the overall structure, we are professionals. Even Tuesday’s adjustment day was confidently shared with the view that new highs will come! Who else?!
So, has the index topped out now? What should we do? Is a decline an opportunity? Where is the next target after precise bottom-fishing? We will use the most objective probabilities to discuss this thoroughly with everyone!
First, let’s look at the chart below. The red circle marks each time after the index’s acceleration wave, the top feature “a super long bearish candle” and two days of consecutive decline, so today’s large bearish candle is obviously bigger than usual. +0.32% opening high and closing down -1.52%, total fluctuation of -0.84%. The index’s acceleration to a new high followed by a nearly two-point plunge suggests that objectively, this can easily form a short-term top! Instead of blindly bullish again.
What should we expect next? How to act more profitably? When is the bottom-fishing opportunity? We have our veteran actor back on stage.
By combining the above and below charts, we find commonality! The chart below shows the most similar main rise stage to the current index structure (big dip second bottom — main rise slow bull — acceleration to new high — large bearish correction — double-head then choose direction). So we find that after each strong new high, even if there is a short-term correction, there will be a “double-head trend,” and almost no continuation of breaking new highs after the double-head.
Therefore, what Tuobao friends need to do next is wait for the index to fall into position, avoid short-term bearishness, and arbitrage the double-head expectation until approaching the 4258 top again, then shift from bullish to bearish!
When is the bottom-fishing opportunity? Looking at the two charts above, each large bearish candle after acceleration leads to a decline wave:
“All occur after the 10-day moving average is officially crossed downward, and above the 20-day moving average” — indicating a short-term bottom!”
Today’s large bearish candle has already fallen near the 10-day moving average. So tomorrow, including next Monday, if divergence continues, you can start low buying to get the bottom first, aiming to at least explore the space for the double-head. Seeing this, even if the market crashes, you won’t follow the outside consensus of being overly bearish or blindly bullish, right? One review clears your mind. Is the few yuan or ten yuan for the review worth it?!
Secondly, and more importantly, where will the next profit effect come from? How to choose stocks?
Today, my Tuodui system teaches everyone an exclusive secret “Error Correction”
This error correction is not the same as the one I taught before. The core point here is that after each large-scale market decline, for example, after the index accelerated on 1.15, 2026, and then retreated to between the 10-20 day moving averages, at that time, aerospace + AI applications led the main rise, then retreated. After the index bottomed out, it attempted a double-head stage, correcting the mis-killed AI application front-run stocks into a double-head pattern.
So this move fits the current structure perfectly. When the index continues to fall below the 10-day line but approaches the 20-day line, the previously strong logic stocks affected by the decline but with similar shapes—like Blue Cursor—whose 10-day line breaks and then forms a leading trend of consecutive gains, can be considered for correction! Focus on stocks like that.
Third, look for crowding in emotional direction
This point has been experienced many times in the Tuodui system. The most straightforward case is the trend within 2025, October 31, when the index turned, and the first board was Pingtan Development, He Fu China. Because the first trend reversal often triggers short-term “trend-to-emotion” hype. But unlike October 31, when the pattern within our system saw the first trend turn produce “He Fu China, Pingtan Development, Straits Innovation” first boards, and then zero boards, the market was driven by a large rise to high levels, dragging the index down, yet the number of rising stocks still reached 3,000-4,000, showing a clear rebound of bearish sentiment. Today, there is no such situation where the index trend falls but over 3,000 stocks rise, indicating the trend is not dead yet! We need to wait for tomorrow or Monday’s second decline, when the number of rising stocks increases significantly, then observe. So, in terms of sentiment, another necessary choice is “avoid mid-high positions at low levels,” and avoid old high positions with no room for breakthrough. For example, Datang Power’s market cap is too large, and its position is too high to sustain a breakout. Instead, look for low-position stocks with suitable market caps to re-explore.
Recently, there have been many signs of emotional anomalies, such as the movements of Mantis, China Great Wall, the power sector’s attempts to leverage technology, and the breakthroughs of Datang Power’s five-in-six. So, as the end of the month approaches and institutional funds typically cash out, pay attention to the short-term trend reversal risks. Yesterday, after Datang Power’s early morning insight on breaking out, as long as you dared to observe, today’s big plunge with a 10cm profit was easy.
Finally, regarding rhythm: does the Friday attack pattern for next week still apply? How to manage positions?
I have repeatedly said “diminishing marginal utility,” for example, in the 4.30 pattern, observing Western Materials, Xinwei Communications, and even many students’ long-term pattern discoveries like Great Wall, which have been running until today before officially ending. The best profit-taking was before the holiday at the start of the month during the strong main rise. Then, last Friday, the index entered a top-approaching acceleration phase. Around mid-month, observing China Satellite, we saw a big push on Monday, then a correction, with decreasing sustainability. Tuesday’s market-wide correction was not an exception. Now, Friday is here again, and the index already shows signs of a top turn. The timeline suggests that from next week, the monthly trend will begin, and during the strong institutional-led period, the market is most prone to “hit and withdraw” for profit. So, with the index’s top turn and the month-end approaching, tomorrow’s Friday may not generate further profit opportunities. Plus, the weekend’s global markets might decline, and Trump’s visit to China might settle expectations. So, tomorrow, the same Friday, should be cautious. If the decline is in place, reduce positions as much as possible.
At the same time, the market’s tolerance for errors decreases, difficulty increases, and position and attack rhythm should be reduced. Avoid chasing highs!
In terms of theme projection, today’s top gainers are: computing power first, electricity second, chemical and photovoltaic tied for third
Computing Power
**News: **Kunlun Chip P800 completes large-scale verification, Tianci 256-core super node will be officially launched in June. Capital expenditure forecast for large cloud service providers’ super-scale cloud projects has been sharply raised from 450 billion to 800 billion yuan. Domestic major AI companies accelerate capital spending. Global token usage surges, CME announces the launch of the world’s first computing power futures.
Careful observation shows most are small stocks, either holding stakes, indirect shares, mergers, or riding concepts. Perhaps this also reflects upcoming emotional hype. Pay attention to low-position physical stocks with turnover.
(Examples: Hefei Urban Construction, Huasheng Shares, Ouke Technology, Jinfu Technology, Shengshi Technology, Tuowei Information, Hongbo Shares, Zhongjia Bochuang, etc.)
Electric Power
**News: **Q1, China’s hydropower and clean energy base construction accelerated comprehensively. The National Energy Administration states that it has studied and formulated policies for multi-user green power direct connection. China’s first large-scale “power and computing synergy” green power direct supply project—Datang Zhongwei Cloud Base 500k kW photovoltaic plant—officially put into operation. The “Action Plan for Promoting AI and Energy Dual Empowerment” coordinates large new energy bases and national computing hubs.
This is a tech-related theme; electric power has already surged for two days. Today’s divergence correction was expected. I already flagged this risk in the pre-market insight. But does the overall decline of companies like Shao Neng Shares mean the end? Not necessarily. Because the summer demand for electricity in July and August, including the export logic of electric power, will still support the sector. After a short-term correction, new core stocks may emerge to break new highs, or companies like Huadian LiaoNeng, similar to last year’s May-June Zhong Yida, could also have potential. Check if there are new faces at low levels. If not, can Datang Power turn around from high levels? That’s also a point of interest.
(Examples: Jinneng Electric Power, Jinfang Energy, Tianfu Energy, Huadian LiaoNeng, Datang Power, China Electric Power, Xineng Taishan, Shao Neng Shares, Hanlan Cable, Tongda Shares, Renzhi Shares, Zhongcai Energy-saving, Dongfang New Energy, Ningbo Energy, Liaoning Energy, GCL New Energy, etc.)
Photovoltaic
**News: **Industry anti-involution; expectations for China-US talks. Implementation of anti-involution policies. Datang Zhongwei Cloud Base 500k kW photovoltaic plant officially operational.
Space photovoltaic expectations? The pattern shows a deep overshoot correction, giving a “path” to the side. Meanwhile, the neighboring lithium battery stocks are starting to break down collectively.
(Examples: Yao Pi Glass, GCL Integration, Shuangliang Energy Saving, International Industrial, TCL Zhonghuan, Longi Green Energy, Tuori New Material, GCL Energy Science, etc.)
Stock analysis:
Datang Power: Yesterday morning, I identified the “five-in-six” breakthrough pattern of Datang Power, so I started observing it anew at the open. Today’s pre-market insight also predicted a one-wave move, with acceleration or a one-word move, and funds might realize gains early tomorrow. It’s likely controlled by three main controllers. Since electric power surged for two days, today’s divergence was expected. So, no longer observing Datang Power at the open. Recent sentiment stocks often require “confidence and position.” When there is a clear reason, the breakout point should be observed immediately; otherwise, it’s easy to accelerate or find high-level entry points later. For stocks like Datang Power that broke out yesterday, consider taking profits early if they open with a one-word move. A decline of 10cm on a retreat day looks easy. If it breaks out, more gains are possible. But if you are too stubborn and wait another day, it might pull back to a limit-down or trigger a provision tomorrow. It’s a matter of either early confidence or no confidence. Being in the middle is the easiest way to get hit hard!
Yesterday’s pre-market insight and observation of Datang Power’s breakout, and today’s one-word move based on the same logic, if friends do not observe, you can comment “awesome” on the public screen to show your progress~
Data summary:
Number of stocks rising/falling: 1047/4387
Number of limit-ups: Wed 113 / Thu 55
Limit-up rate: Wed 81% / Thu 60%
Number of limit-downs: Wed 2 / Thu 17
Total market turnover: 8B yuan, up 8B from the previous trading day
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(Only seven “support coupons” needed to become a featured article. Personal opinions are for reference and discussion only. Mentioned stocks do not provide guidance. Do not operate blindly! The stock market involves risks; operate cautiously. This is not investment advice. Reproduction must credit: From Xiao Tu Dui Bao Gold Coins.)