【Strong expectations for tonight from the US market—can it carry the move?】

I won’t follow the strength of US stocks; they’re trading on an independent rhythm. If US stocks dip, I follow along—though the linkage and suppression remain clearly evident.

As Trump brings a number of high-tech companies to visit China and the trip is carried out on the ground, positive sentiment is propping things up. Tonight’s expectation for US stocks overall is strongly skewed to the upside.

With market sentiment in sync, the daily chart has a chance to be lifted in line with the trend, probing the pressure near 80,500.

It was already clear in advance that price would undergo long-term range-bound consolidation within 77,000—86,000. At present, the market is playing out two possible scenarios: either first pull back to test the 77,000 support, and then later push up to the 86,000 high; for now, the near-term direction is still unclear—so we’ll wait for tonight’s and the US market’s linkage performance to determine the path forward.

On the hourly timeframe, multiple consecutive K-lines are moving sideways in a tight range, with bulls and bears deadlocked. On the daily chart, the MA5 moving average is exactly pressing at the 80,500 level.

Overall, the larger trend still leans toward weakness. When the precise entry timing for a long position comes, I will provide real-time updates in the live trading session.