#Gate广场五月交易分享 If the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield breaks above 5.2%, the rebound in U.S. stocks will face pressure. There are three reasons:

1. Inflation risk: Geopolitical tensions and supply chain tightness may hinder a smooth cooling of inflation, and if data rebounds, it will directly pressure the market.
2. Negative interpretation of rate cut signals: If politically inclined figures (such as Kevin Warsh) suggest a tendency to cut rates, the market may interpret this as worsening economic conditions rather than a positive sign.
3. Long-term technical pressure: The yield is currently in a rising triangle that has lasted over three years. If it confirms a break above 5.2%, the target could reach over 6%, which would severely impact overvalued assets (U.S. stocks lead the decline, followed by cryptocurrencies).

Conclusion: Caution is needed in the short term.