[Red Envelope] Preview before May 15: 130 billion fleeing! China's Great Wall hits the limit down! Has the market ended?

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A five-minute review of today’s market:

Yesterday, Brother Zhuang clearly mentioned during the review that the electric power sector has peaked. The day after a peak, if it doesn’t accelerate further, it will be the source of a major decline! Therefore, today the electric power sector cannot continue the rally, which is an iron law in short-term trading and also Brother Zhuang’s advice to everyone! If you still have friends going into electric power today, you need to reflect on yourself! On the market, Shaoneng Shares nearly hit the limit down, Yunnan Energy Control, China Datang, and Huadian Liaoning all surged then fell back, Datang Power, the leader, also couldn’t withstand selling pressure. Someone asked why this happens; the reason is simple: When sentiment is unified, everyone who should buy has bought. There are no additional funds outside the market willing to buy at high levels. Once someone starts to run, it triggers a chain of stampedes. This is the natural law of sentiment cycles—from consensus to divergence, then divergence to consensus, cycle after cycle. So, the most important lesson in short-term trading is not learning how to buy, but learning when not to buy. Today, during the morning session, Brother Zhuang only commented on the core stocks in each sector, without giving any buy plans—that’s the reason.

Many people can’t control their hands, always feeling they must trade every day, but truly mature traders know that, when risk signals appear, staying in cash is itself a form of attack!

What is today’s risk signal? It’s Trump landing. At this level of uncertainty, the first reaction of large funds is always to hedge, not to attack. Don’t bet on whether the news is good or bad, because the news itself isn’t important; what matters is the attitude of funds. Today, from the start of the auction, the market was under pressure. The Shanghai Composite Index oscillated below, the Shenzhen Component, STAR Market 50, and the Northbound Market 50 all gradually widened their declines. Although trading volume increased, this was volume-driven decline, indicating that the selling and profit-taking orders are surging.

Here’s another very practical short-term tip: When you see the index’s intraday trend continuously downward while volume keeps expanding, it usually means selling pressure has not been fully released. Don’t rush to bottom fish. When the index was just turning green in the morning, Brother Zhuang completely exited all his positions. Someone asked why not wait for a rebound before selling; because divergence has just begun, waiting for everyone to react means you’ll be caught in a stampede. Being early is better than being late—that’s the simplest rule in short-term trading.

The market’s behavior again confirmed Brother Zhuang’s judgment. Therefore, today’s best approach is to exit after the morning index shows a small green, then buy back early in the afternoon when the index stabilizes, capturing a comfortable price difference. Short-term trading isn’t about selling at the highest point but about being able to fully retreat before risks materialize, then re-enter after the risk subsides.

The details of today’s market are also interesting. Strong sectors like Baijiu, photovoltaic equipment, and pork concepts are more defensive or driven by news, and haven’t formed fundamental capital force. Conversely, previously active small metals and rare earths have fallen sharply, indicating funds are withdrawing from high-level themes. In this structure, choosing to defend is always more important than attacking.

So, are there opportunities worth paying attention to today? Yes, but you need to distinguish who is truly strong and who is fake strong. Photovoltaic equipment surged in the afternoon, with stocks like Dier Laser soaring, but within the sector, the number of stocks rising and falling is almost evenly split, with few hitting the limit up and many falling. This divergence indicates that funds are not fully attacking; it’s more of a stock-specific rally or oversold rebound. Silicon carbide also strengthened, with Jing Sheng Shares hitting the 20cm limit up, but the overall sector did not receive sustained large capital support. Based on Brother Zhuang’s experience, before the market truly stabilizes, any sector rallying against the trend should be viewed as rotation, with high risk of chasing the top. The truly worth tracking are those stocks that resist falling during market declines and rebound first when the market stabilizes. The core of short-term play isn’t predicting rises or falls but finding a profitable entry point. Until the overall market risk is fully released, any buy point isn’t worthwhile!

Finally, let’s talk about the upcoming strategy. Today’s closing was at a relatively low level. When can you re-enter? Wait for stabilization, wait for divergence to turn into consensus—both conditions are essential.

What is stabilization? At least, the intraday chart no longer makes new lows, or shows a clear bottom structure, such as a second dip that doesn’t break the previous low. What is divergence turning into consensus? It’s when the previously bearish funds start turning bullish, and sectors and indices resonate upward, with volume-confirmed bullish candles appearing during the day.

If today’s closing directly recovers to red, then profit-taking will be abundant, and tomorrow will see continued profit realization, with more selling. So, if you want the market to recover tomorrow, divergence must continue and stabilize! Continued divergence with volume indicates the selling has been completed, and the bottom-fishing orders are starting to probe!

Remember, the core of short-term trading isn’t making money every day but controlling drawdowns. When high-confidence opportunities appear, act decisively. Keep the rhythm right—don’t hesitate to run at the open, don’t rush to wait during the day!

To conclude, if you find this article inspiring, feel free to reward me with a tip. The goal today is 100 friends tipping, any amount is fine. It’s not about the money; I just want to see how many people are willing to pause for serious content in this fast-paced era!

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Start of review!

1. Is the market over? Do you see the next week’s trend as bullish or bearish?

2. Why did electric power surge at the open? Why did it fall back at the close?

3. One sentence to explain Brother Zhuang’s system (must-see for new friends!)

Brother Zhuang’s trading system is a self-created model used to quantify market sentiment cycles and convert them into position ratios, perfectly solving the effectiveness of sentiment cycle quantification in the era of quantitative trading!

Volume entanglement theory is a system for judging individual stocks’ volume and price, helping everyone with intraday buy/sell decisions and determining main fund movements!

Super short twelve methods include 12 ultra-short techniques, combined with Brother Zhuang’s self-created volume-price theory, to solve stock selection issues.

In simple terms, the trading system manages positions, volume-energy theory manages buy/sell, and the twelve ultra-short methods handle stock picking. The three combined use the certainty of models to cope with market uncertainty, enabling survival!

Brother Zhuang’s journey hopes to help friends who are confused:
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