5.14 Market Analysis

Admitting mistakes gets you hit, getting hit makes you stand at attention, yesterday’s long positions were stopped out, I personally believe we haven't hit the bottom of the decline yet, consider going long around 75,000, do not consider going long before a volume breakout above 80,430, short at highs, TM short, ctmlgb.

$BTC ‌

Bitcoin triangle pattern breaks downward, and breaks below 80,510 support, the lowest touches 78,700, creating a new low.
Rebound is weak, highs are moving lower, lows are moving lower, indicating a weak structure.
Currently in a consolidation after a decline, re-evaluate the direction:

If the rebound recovers above 79,520 resistance, it temporarily halts the decline;

If 79,520 cannot hold, it will retest 78,700;

Effective break below 78,700 → The hourly bullish trend ends, a bearish waterfall begins;

Rebounds must return above 80,510, otherwise a significant rebound is unlikely.

Trading idea: Mainly oscillating, focus on dips for long entries, do not expect a complete collapse.

Short-term trading (volume breakout/breakdown + stop loss)

Long: Follow on volume breakout above 79,714 on the right side
Short: Follow on volume breakdown below 79,192, or rebound without follow-up
Hourly level: Hold above 79,714 → Watch 80,430–81,300
4-hour level: Break below 79,227 → Watch 78,777–78,046

Key levels

Upper resistance: 79,714 – 80,430 – 81,300
Lower support: 78,777 – 78,046 – 77,371
$ETH ‌

Idea

Linked with Bitcoin’s weakness, mainly range-bound oscillation, following BTC’s rhythm.

Short-term trading

Long: Follow on volume breakout above 2,268 on the right side
Short: Follow on volume breakdown below 2,249, or rebound without follow-up
Dip buy: Confirm support at 2,218, can go long, stop loss at 2,175
Left-side orders: Long at 2,158, stop loss if broken below 2,120

Targets and key levels

Hourly level: Hold above 2,268 → Watch 2,300–2,337
Upper short: Short near 2,346, stop loss if breakout above 2,383
4-hour level: Break below 2,237 → Watch 2,176–2,130

Upper resistance: 2,268 – 2,300 – 2,337
Lower support: 2,250 – 2,218 – 2,175
Summary

BTC: 79,520 is the short-term strength/weakness line, oscillate above it with a bias to the upside, below it continue to test lows; focus on 78,700 as the critical support.

ETH: Range-bound around 2,250, follow Bitcoin, quick stop-loss, quick entries and exits.

Overall: Weak oscillation, consolidation, choose direction, control position size, strictly stop-loss. #美国PPI