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Pal Hotspot Daily Report — 5.14
1. Trump’s Visit to China - Chinese Concept Stock Volatility Strategy
· Scenario 1: Good conversation - Chinese concept stocks (KWEB/CWEB) may continue to be strong, can hold or add positions
· Scenario 2: Not good - Chinese concept stocks may revert to their original state, it is recommended to set stop-loss or reduce positions
· Hedging plan: Not recommended to heavily bet, because "all high-level visits are pre-communicated," but execution details may still fall short of market expectations
2. Federal Reserve Chair Transition - Interest Rate Expectation Management
· After Waller takes office, he may be more hawkish, as the "Price Stability Act" proposal only retains a single inflation target
· After Waller takes office, he may be more hawkish, as the "Price Stability Act" proposal only retains a single inflation target, if inflation continues to rise, Q may come under pressure
3. Cerebras IPO - Participate or Observe
· If optimistic about the AI inference track: participate in Cerebras IPO or buy related stocks (NVDA/TSLA)
· If believing valuation is too high: observe and wait for IPO to stabilize the price
· Risk warning: If Cerebras requires multiple units working together, inter-chip connectivity may become a bottleneck
4. Storage Sector - Leverage Management
· Short-term peak likely, need to be cautious and take profits, reduce leverage, but long-term outlook remains positive because AI memory demand logic remains unchanged
· Suggestion: If already highly profitable, consider reducing leverage; if just built a position, set tight stop-loss and continue holding