I look at whether a project is reliable or not, and I don't just check the candlestick charts first; I look at GitHub and audit reports... It's not about pretending to understand, I'm just afraid of being "home invaded" during the night by an upgrade. Don't just look at the stars on GitHub; I usually check if there have been recent updates, if there are arguments in the issues (as long as someone is managing), and whether the upgrades involve multi-signature or delays—these are "brakes." Audit reports are more like a health check: don't just look at "pass"; I look for high-risk issues being fixed, whether fixes have been double-checked, and I fear those who just say "known risks accepted" and move on.

Recently, fee rates are almost twisted into knots, and the group is arguing whether to reverse or continue squeezing the bubble. I remain quite calm: I have a habit—before taking action, I check if I can upgrade or change rules with one click. If I can, I treat it like an 80% chance of rain in the weather forecast, and naturally, I reduce my position... Anyway, if I lose, I can review it; better than losing for no reason.