Evening Outlook: Exercise caution when going long. The core logic is based on the MACD golden cross and the bullish alignment of moving averages, which provide a medium-term technical foundation for a bullish outlook, supported by medium-term capital inflows. However, the RSI and KDJ are severely overbought, and short-term capital is flowing out, with volume and price divergence, forming a strong warning for a short-term pullback. Therefore, the bias is bullish, but entry points should be chosen very carefully to avoid chasing highs.

Entry Timing

• Ideal (Conservative): Pullback to the key support at 2302.13 (S1), with long lower shadows or bullish engulfing candles indicating a potential bottom, try to buy in batches.

• Aggressive (Trend-following): Break above and stabilize at 2330.47 (R1) with increased volume, then pull back to re-enter with a small position; be cautious of high-level chasing and pullback risks.

🛑 Stop-loss setting (Strict risk control)

• Plan A: Place stop-loss below the key support at 2284.06 (S2).

• Plan B: Based on ATR(11.23), set the entry price minus approximately 28 USDT (2.5 times ATR), with a stop-loss of about 1.2%.

• Logic: Filter normal fluctuations, keeping single-trade risk manageable.

🎯 Target prices (Partial profit-taking in stages)

• First target: 2340.74 (R2), take partial profits, with a return of about 1.2%.

• Second target: 2358.81 (R3), add to or hold the remaining position for partial profit, with a return of about 2.0%.

• Subsequent: A strong breakout above R3 opens up upward space, dynamically move the stop-loss higher and look for higher levels.