AI arithmetic is really bad, especially when it comes to prediction market problems.


I asked more than 5 AIs and none of them got it right 🥲. They all gave document-based reasoning, but in the end, it was only about calculating the final average position price for the holding cost of “YES” and “NO”—and they still got it wrong three times 😂.
Among them, deepseek was the most stubborn: it kept insisting on its own answer and even asked me to give it more stuff to prove my answer. GPT and Grok, after laying out the steps, finally got it right.
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