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Crypto markets are trending markets – that is the one important thing you need to understand. Once a trend is established, it usually remains in that direction until something really changes. That’s why it’s so crucial to know how to distinguish bullish from bearish trends.
I always start with the higher timeframes. No matter what happens on the 4-hour chart – in the end, it follows the direction of the weekly chart. That’s the trick: you use the smaller timeframes for your entries but let the big picture guide you. Daily and weekly charts are ideal for this.
How do you recognize an uptrend? The price makes consistently higher highs and higher lows. That’s your signal. As long as the price doesn’t fall below the last higher low, the trend remains intact. Plain and simple.
When entering: Nothing goes straight up. There are always setbacks, even if the big trend is bullish. If the price falls into an important zone of the higher timeframe – exactly where the previous higher low was – that can be your entry point. Goal: new highs.
And then the bearish trend. It’s the opposite: lower highs and lower lows. If you are shorting and the market is bearish, you use the same method. The lower timeframe gives you the trigger into the upper zone of the higher timeframe – that’s where you look for your short setup. Goal: new lows.
The critical point: no trend lasts forever. And that’s where most lose their money. When the market has been bearish for a long time and suddenly turns bullish, many refuse to accept it and keep selling. Conversely: when a bullish trend ends, they stubbornly hold on and buy, even though warning signs are clear.
How do you recognize a trend reversal? Very simply: you look for the same signals. If the uptrend breaks and the price falls below the higher low – then the party is over. Some take profits there, others open shorts. It depends on who you are.
In a bearish trend, it’s the opposite: if the price breaks the lower highs, the trend can shift from bearish to bullish. That’s your signal to change.
The rule is simple: be bullish when the trend is bullish, be bearish when the trend is bearish. Change your stance when the trend changes. That’s all you need to survive and be successful in the long run. No emotions, no hope – just the facts on the chart.