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Inflation is still running wild and hasn't slowed down! Traders and Wall Street are arguing, and the prices in the beautiful country are still soaring? 😱
The just-released April inflation data in the beautiful country has directly poured cold water on everyone! The inflation rate surged to 3.8%, hitting the fastest pace since May 2023. Everyone thought this was the peak of the small inflation monster, but unexpectedly, it’s not satisfied yet and is still pushing upward 🔥
Traders on the Kalshi prediction platform are betting with real money: breaking 4% inflation this year is basically a sure thing, with a two-thirds chance of hitting over 4.5%, and nearly 40% chance of directly surpassing the 5% mark!
This is a huge gap compared to Wall Street economists’ expectations! They previously boasted that inflation would top out at 3.8% this quarter and would comfortably fall back to 2.8% by the end of the year. Now it seems that theoretical models can’t compete with the real market trends 🤷♂️
Honestly, this boils down to a difference in perception between two groups: traders are immersed in the market every day, watching the most active supply, demand, and capital flows, knowing that the root of rising prices hasn’t been pulled out; while many economists still cling to lagging data and outdated theories, fantasizing that inflation can cool down quickly.
For ordinary people like us, no matter how experts paint the rosy picture, our wallets are the most honest. Whether food, oil, rent, or fuel prices go up or down, everyone knows in their hearts. If inflation really continues to rise, cash in hand will only depreciate faster. Planning ahead is the only way to protect your money 💰
Do you think inflation in the beautiful country will break 5% this year? Share your thoughts in the comments! Follow me for daily straightforward explanations of economic truths—no fluff!