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Warren takes the throne! Wall Street is opening champagne first, while retail investors are starting to look for quick-acting heart relief pills
The Federal Reserve Chair finally has a clear successor, with Warren officially confirmed. As soon as the news broke, Wall Street trading floors felt like a New Year’s celebration, with analysts overnight re-titling their “interest rate cut expectations” PPTs. Only ordinary investors are staring at their account balances, lost in thought: Is this time the engine of a bull market, or a new round of “scythe testing”?
Warren’s biggest label is being more market-oriented and focused on financial stability. To put it plainly: compared to “fighting inflation to the death,” he’s more worried about the market suddenly collapsing. Capital markets love this style because as soon as the market drops, the Fed is more likely to “step in and save the day.”
But there’s also a problem. The U.S. inflation isn’t fully under control yet; rent is expensive, oil prices are floating, and eggs are almost starting to feel like luxury goods. If Warren signals easing too early, the market will celebrate first, but prices could surge back. At that point, ordinary people will find: wages haven’t increased, but supermarkets are starting to look more like boutique stores.
The most excited are actually tech stocks. Nasdaq has already begun rehearsing the “AI perpetual motion market.” Because the market logic is simple: as long as there’s a chance interest rates will fall in the future, high-valuation companies can take off again. So many investors are shouting about economic danger while frantically buying tech stocks, playing a “fear and push forward” game.
The dollar and gold will also become more exciting. If Warren leans dovish, the dollar might weaken, and gold could be chased by funds again. Recently, many grandmas have started researching gold ETFs, and Wall Street can’t help but sigh: “The risk-avoidance sentiment has finally sunk into community groups.”
The most surreal is the global market. Capital from Asia, Europe, and even the Middle East is watching Warren’s first speech. Because the current global economy has long entered the era of “Fed sneezes, the world catches a cold.”
Next, the most critical thing isn’t whether Warren will cut rates, but whether he will make the market think “rate cuts are coming soon.” Sometimes, the Fed’s real power isn’t printing money, but using a single statement to get global investors to cheer themselves up first.
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