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I keep noticing that many traders underestimate the basics of trend analysis.
But it's actually pretty simple when you know what to look for.
Start best with higher timeframes — like daily or weekly charts.
What happens there ultimately determines the direction.
The smaller timeframes are then more for finding the perfect entry point.
How do you recognize a bullish trend?
The price makes consistently higher highs and higher lows.
That’s the sign that it’s moving upward.
As long as the price doesn’t break through any of the previous lows, the uptrend remains intact.
That’s your confirmation to stay optimistic.
In a bearish trend, it’s exactly the opposite —
lower highs and lower lows.
The logic is the same, just in the opposite direction.
Now to the most important part: Where do you enter?
The price never moves in a straight line.
There are always setbacks and consolidations.
If the price falls into an important zone —
like the previous higher low in a bullish market —
that can be your entry signal.
Your target then is the new highs.
In a bearish market, you look for the jump into the upper high zone of the higher timeframe for your short entry.
The critical point: No trend lasts forever.
And that’s where most people lose their money.
They stick to their opinion, even though the market has long since turned.
When the bullish trend breaks and the price falls below the higher low,
you need to change your stance.
Same in reverse —
if the bearish trend breaks and the price rises above the lower highs,
that’s a signal for a trend reversal.
The rule is simple:
Be bullish when the trend is bullish.
Be bearish when the trend is bearish.
Adjust your strategy if something changes.
That’s the difference between traders who survive and those who go broke.
Stick to the facts, not your feelings.