Keep going empty! Crude oil at 100+ and the bubble is about to burst, heavy short positions to eat the meat!


On May 12th, the Iran situation pushed WTI crude oil directly above 100+, with the entire market wildly bullish. But I see, this is just the final carnival of sentiment, the golden window for shorting! Three points are enough:
1. The war expectations are fully priced in! Trump’s tough talk, negotiations as “life support,” escalation risks, the market has already factored all this in. Historically, every time there’s a pulse rise in the Middle East, sentiment retreats and prices crash. Now chasing longs is like catching a flying knife.
2. The US “escort plan” is a clear bearish signal! Ensuring the safety of the Strait of Hormuz directly eliminates supply disruption worries, and the “premium” no longer has long-term logic.
3. The fundamentals simply cannot hold at 100+! Weak global demand, US shale production can increase at any time, high oil prices are a ticking inflation bomb. Trump’s maximum pressure is for bargaining chips, not a real war of attrition.
Now WTI is around 101, and everyone is calling for longs, I stand for shorts. As the bubble recedes and CL returns to rationality, it all starts here! Continue heavy short positions.
Target first at 92-88, take the meat and walk away!
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