Just noticed something worth talking about. Gold has absolutely crushed it this year, and we're now sitting at price levels that seemed impossible just months ago. PAXG is trading around $4.71K right now, which means it's already blown past the $5,000 level that everyone was debating about back in late 2025. Pretty wild when you think about it.



Looking back at what got us here, the story is pretty straightforward. The last five years have been insane for gold. We went from the COVID shock in 2020 where gold hit around $2,075, then got beaten down during the rate hike cycle in 2021-2022 when it dipped to the $1,600s. But here's the thing—central banks never stopped buying. China, Poland, and others kept accumulating quietly. When the banking crisis hit in 2023, gold reclaimed the $2,000 floor. Then 2024 became the real breakout year, rallying to $2,700 by year-end. And 2025? That was the parabolic move everyone will remember. Nearly 70% gain, crushing through $3,000 and $4,000 to peak at $4,550 in December.

The crazy part is we've now hit $5.64K as the new ATH. The floor price has literally doubled in five years. Every dip got bought up, and every rally pushed higher. This isn't random—it's driven by three major factors. Central banks are pulling over 1,000 tonnes annually from the market. Real interest rates stay low despite nominal rates being high, which makes gold attractive when everything else is yielding nothing. And institutional capital has come flooding back into gold ETFs in 2025 and 2026, adding massive demand.

I've been watching the technical picture closely. We're in a strong uptrend on the weekly and monthly charts, though daily timeframes show some consolidation. The RSI cooled off from overbought levels, which actually suggests the market is just resetting for the next leg rather than rolling over. Support zones are holding around $4,350-$4,400. As long as central banks keep buying and inflation fears persist, the trend stays your friend.

For anyone thinking about the gold price forecast for 2030, the macro setup looks pretty supportive. Global debt keeps climbing, which means more liquidity injections down the road. De-dollarization is real. Whether we're looking at $6,000 or higher by 2030 depends on how aggressive central banks get with money printing, but the directional bias seems clear.

My take? Don't chase it at the highs. Wait for a retest of the $4,350-$4,400 zone if you want to add positions. The gold price forecast community was debating $5,000 as a moon target six months ago—we're already past that. The next resistance is psychological. If you're accumulating long-term, Gate has solid liquidity for PAXG if you want to track spot gold prices. The cycle isn't over yet.
PAXG-0.28%
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