Lately, there has been increasing talk in the crypto community about the start of a new bull cycle, and I decided to figure out what this term really means and whether all these forecasts are worth believing.

When people talk about a bull run, they often confuse it with a regular bullish market. It’s not exactly the same thing. A bull market is a long-term trend that can last months or even years, characterized by investor confidence and steady growth. A bull run, on the other hand, is a completely different phenomenon — a short but intense explosive rise when prices skyrocket over days or weeks. In cryptocurrency, such surges are especially pronounced due to high volatility.

What causes the market to enter a bull run mode? Usually, several factors happen simultaneously. First, a sharp increase in trading volumes against the backdrop of rising prices — this creates a cyclical process where growth attracts new participants, who in turn push prices higher. Second, a wave of optimism in the community — more positive forecasts appear, media interest grows, and people start actively seeking information about cryptocurrencies. Third, the influx of large money — when hedge funds and pension funds begin investing capital, it’s a serious signal. Technological updates and regulatory changes that raise growth expectations are also important.

Now, to the main question — has a bull run started now? I see several interesting signals. Bitcoin has been demonstrating a steady upward trend on weekly and monthly charts since September, which could be the beginning of a serious movement. Institutional investors are again showing activity, supporting prices. Regulators are becoming more favorable toward cryptocurrencies, opening new opportunities for mass adoption. Technical indicators, such as RSI on higher timeframes, show levels that historically corresponded to the start of previous bullish periods. And interest in altcoins is already growing — a classic sign that the altseason might be in full swing.

But here’s the catch — not every price jump is a real bull run. There are often false signals when speculators or manipulators create temporary hype, and then the market sharply falls. Those who buy at the peak of such hype often suffer significant losses. Therefore, before entering, it’s necessary to check fundamental indicators, look at the news background, and make sure it’s not just a local spike.

Currently, Bitcoin is around the 80,000 mark with a slight decrease over the past day. If a bull run is truly developing, the next resistance levels are at 83,000 and 90,000. These are the targets that have not yet been reached, and if the market breaks through them, it will be a serious confirmation of the start of a significant movement. So far, the situation looks promising, but remember — in crypto, nothing is guaranteed, and risk management is always essential.