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The recently released U.S. April CPI came in far above expectations, reaching 3.8%, the highest in three years, directly shattering the market’s expectations of rate cuts.
Inflation has rebounded again—geopolitics has pushed up oil prices, and rent and service prices remain high, making sticky inflation extremely stubborn. In the near term, the Federal Reserve has no real justification to cut rates.
A rate cut in September is basically out of the question; it may even not happen at all this year. The long-term high interest rate environment will continue.
The earlier rally logic that relied on rate cut expectations has completely failed, and in the short term there is unlikely to be a large-scale market trend.
Bitcoin will keep range-bound, grinding down at the bottom; in the short run, it will repeatedly shake out positions. With liquidity tightening and little support, the risk for under-supported altcoins is extremely high, and they can easily plunge sharply. Do not blindly follow the crowd.
Previously, the market was broadly optimistic, all driven by early bets on rate cuts. Now the logic has flipped, and the outlook will mainly be characterized by long-term consolidation.
At the moment, don’t chase quick riches—strictly control your positions, stay away from high leverage and junk altcoins, stick to major coins for risk hedging, and patiently wait for the market to stabilize.
There are always opportunities in the market; protecting your principal is what matters most.$BTC $ETH #TROLL两日涨超160% #特朗普5月13日访华