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[Red Envelope] Disagreements arrive as scheduled! Three ways to handle them and keep you triumphant in the martial arts world
Trading frequency doesn’t necessarily help you improve, but reviewing and reflecting definitely help you grow! [Taogu Ba]
You think that “more trading and more practice” often just repeats the same mistakes, consumes your account capital, and covers your laziness with “false busyness.” An impulsive chase, a lucky re-entry, hesitation when it’s time to cut losses—if you don’t analyze these in hindsight, you’ll keep making the same mistakes next time. Repeated trading just circles in place.
To truly grow, it’s not about the number of trades, but about asking yourself in review:
Why did I buy this trade? Was it based on the main logic or emotional impulse?
Did I grasp the selling point well? Was it greed or a plan failure?
If I had to do it again, what would I do?
If you can’t even review properly, how can you talk about stable profits? How can you talk about trading growth?
Right now, a refined review and a soil pile system that can help you avoid detours are right in front of you. Do you really want to read it carefully?
Individual Stock Analysis:
Yesterday, we discussed today’s high-level divergence adjustment after the surge + the idea of decreasing initial momentum after the holiday, so China Satellite’s early morning surge yesterday triggered the soil pile system’s “trend stock five-day deviation” principle. Yesterday’s surge was no longer observed after the open; looking back today, the pre-holiday initial move was within the “buy on divergence” method of nurturing the foundation, and being able to buy at the divergence high yesterday and then sell at the consensus or “sell at the uniform” performance today shows the same logic. Avoiding a large adjustment in aerospace today indicates resonance with the market’s thinking.
**
Shengyang Co.:** Today’s opening index divergence is obvious. I observed Shengyang Co., which reminded me of three points: First, shape memory—similar to the 2025 small group owner’s electric light technology shape, as shown in the first board the next day near a new high with heavy volume, then a second day with reduced volume and a rebound to a new high; second, Shengyang’s emotional grouping, and the expectation of divergence adjustment after yesterday’s surge makes it easier for emotional stocks like Shengyang/Great Wall/Hualiao to fluctuate; third, the calculation of electric synergy—short-term movements in lithium batteries pointing to sector rotation after divergence in tech optical communications.
Today’s index adjustment dragged lithium batteries down, but Zhongji Xuchuang’s ability to attract funds and stabilize during tech and index divergence was strong. After a big rise, Zhongji Xuchuang also needs a correction, so the index will likely continue to diverge again. It depends on whether emotional grouping or lithium battery rotation can re-emerge. Today, experiencing a roller coaster on emotional stocks was really exciting! Currently, the five-day line surged one day and adjusted the next, a playground for T-party traders.
Remember to like, comment, follow, and engage with a triple click—only through mutual effort can we maintain and enhance our path! From Feiwo Technology to Boyun New Material, to China Great Wall / Western Materials / Xinwei Communications, and including Penghui Energy, each case clearly states its viewpoint. We don’t stay silent or shift because of logical errors or mistakes, nor do we cover up good points, nor change just because of continuous new highs. We remain consistent. Is there a second person in Taoxian?! Also, reflect—are you more often right or wrong? How many times have you caught or improved because of explosive moves? Soil friends, be clear in your hearts.
Next, let’s talk about today’s core market signals—first release
Same as before: if missed due to force majeure, it might be deleted, just like my early teaching posts. Now, it’s all fragments of mental methods. To learn systematically, I will share a complete analysis later in Soil Gate combined with current market conditions. Also, not studying seriously always has a price—like last Friday’s early move before May Day, a guaranteed win; chasing after missed opportunities often results in losses. The market will teach us lessons!
Future profit effect structure + macro trend projection: short-term divergence shakes off profit-taking, mid-term continues a slow bull, and latecomers should watch for reversal opportunities!
To start with reassurance: the medium-term macro structure of the index has no risk. It’s just a path of new highs—oscillation—continuing to attempt new highs, or oscillation—new highs—oscillation again before choosing direction. Recently, the index has followed the former: breaking through yesterday, and in the short term, divergence oscillation will try to push for new highs again. Even if there’s a risk of a second major decline, it’s a good opportunity for latecomers to reverse and catch up, because we already analyzed the objective law of the index last night.
“Every new high followed by a brief correction and oscillation will at least form a double-top pattern”
Since this wave of accelerated bull market has seen such large profit-taking, appropriate divergence correction and oscillation will shed more profit-taking early, raising the pressure and upper limit of new highs! How to shake out the weak hands? By “increasing intra-day volatility”, causing profit-takers and the hesitant to gradually exit. Looking back, did this wave of the index break all supports and disprove the slow bull? No, so new highs are just a matter of time. This is the medium-term rhythm and the reassurance of Soil Gate!
After discussing the medium-term structure, let’s share Soil Pile’s view on the short-term rhythm:
First, we need to see clearly where today’s midday plunge and several recoveries are focused—on which themes?
Actually, it’s very obvious—“technology”
Recently, tech stocks like Guangxun Technology surged and then plunged during the same time the index also fell sharply to new lows. Later, semiconductor chips lifted the index back, and after intra-day tech adjustments, the index recovered in tandem. Throughout the day, Zhongji Xuchuang maintained a high level, protecting the market, otherwise the index would have been more brutal. So, our forecast of tech’s possible behavior helps us better understand the upcoming index trend.
Yesterday, we discussed the risk of the large central army’s capacity trend deviating far from the five-day line. Yesterday, at high levels, we stopped observing China Satellite. Today, Zhongji Xuchuang, as a mid-tier in optical communications, also shows deviation from the five-day line. Tech stocks again pulled back at the end of the day to overdraw expectations for tomorrow’s recovery. Will divergence expectations increase? Zhongji Xuchuang is the main stabilizer and protector today, so it’s not hard to conclude that the medium-term outlook is positive but highly unpredictable, while in the short term, “the index may have a second correction”.
If tomorrow’s correction is followed by a quick recovery, we need to observe whether Zhongji Xuchuang shows anomalies and whether volume can keep up. If volume continues to shrink significantly and Zhongji Xuchuang adjusts, then the tech stocks’ late surge today might be double-fulfilled, leading to a false breakout and a retreat. So, tomorrow’s second divergence should be handled case by case to stay safe—confirm the support from the mid-tier and volume feedback. Just like yesterday, lithium batteries seemed stable but then rotated today; at the open, CATL hit new lows, so lithium batteries still continue their contrarian correction. Although the market tends to rebound strongly when rising, a day of discomfort is also tough—remember this well.
Therefore, the big structure corresponds to future small rhythms and opportunities. How to act next to seize the initiative?!
First, regarding holdings or themes: Currently, technology is the absolute main line with strong money attraction, supported by other sectors like commercial aerospace, power, lithium, precious metals, etc., which rotate as auxiliaries;
So, if you already hold tech stocks: Don’t panic over big rises or drops. Focus more on whether the index has completed its move, whether the trend support is intact—if so, hold the top tech stocks and don’t lose your core holdings!
Second, if you don’t hold tech stocks yet: After tech stocks correct to support levels, it’s a good time to look for opportunities to reverse and catch up. Focus on logical, strong stocks at low levels, new faces with strong momentum.
For sectors outside tech, temporarily being overshadowed by tech’s attraction: No need to rush or panic. If the correction is deep enough and expectations differ, new highs will come sooner or later—just a matter of time. Yesterday’s tech surge and today’s Zhongji Xuchuang’s big rise show strong money attraction. Now, with tech stocks deviating from the five-day line, Zhongji Xuchuang also deviates and breaks the trillion market cap threshold—these tech-driven sectors are likely to rebound during tech’s divergence correction, such as aerospace earlier, power today, and future lithium and precious metals. Keep an eye on when tech and Zhongji Xuchuang collectively adjust divergence.
Finally, on news-driven market profit and loss trends:
The main recent news points are: one, Trump’s visit to China on 5.14; two, the expected IPO of SpaceX in mid-June to early July.
The anticipation of Trump’s visit on 5.14 has been reflected in recent market feedback, causing some funds to realize profits early, leading to continued divergence. After yesterday’s volume surge, the market became more competitive, which we call short-term oscillation and increased intra-day volatility, to shake out weak hands. The uncertainty around the visit also causes some funds to stay on the sidelines or hold stocks without adding, resulting in a lack of potential outside buyers and more profit-taking, consistent with recent divergence and oscillation.
The second point suggests that June and July might not be good months for hype, because the macro logic of commercial aerospace has been hyped for over a year. Such large profit-taking and expectations will be realized in June-July, which could damage the market and sectors. This accelerates the strong market expectation in May, as realization is likely to happen in June-July, pushing the market to accelerate and achieve mid-term goals.
So, after breaking down this structure clearly, tonight’s Soil Pile friends will have a good understanding. Will trading become simpler? Will your mind be calmer? That’s the clarity of understanding market signals!
Data summary:
Number of stocks up/down: 1379 / 4048
Number of limit-up boards: Monday 94 / Tuesday 57
Limit-up rate: Monday 71% / Tuesday 68%
Number of daily limit-down: Monday 3 / Tuesday 7
Total market turnover: 295.7B yuan, down 2,957 billion from the previous trading day
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Love begets love, fortune brings fortune! Always keep a grateful heart. For those who achieve great mastery, may this be a place for enlightenment! Sincerely thank all friends supporting with tips and donations. We walk through storms together, side by side. All efforts are worthwhile. May every supporter trade smoothly, have long-lasting wealth, and live happily. Stay true to your path and keep going. Your patience and persistence are seen by all, and your efforts will eventually double back.
Stay calm and reserved; a peaceful heart makes the road broad. Those who see through things always keep their true selves. Life is a long-term cultivation—don’t worry about speed. Besides health, everything else is just a subplot.
Everyone has their own timing; ups and downs follow their rhythm! Ren Zhengfei started his low point at 43 and then soared; Zhang Songwen was hidden for years before exploding in middle age. Everyone has their own growth rhythm and moment to shine. Don’t envy others’ short-term bursts; your main upward trend is already quietly gathering strength, ready to launch.
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(Only seven “Cheering Vouchers” needed to become a featured article. My personal views are for reference and discussion only. Mentioned stocks are not guidance for you. Do not operate blindly! The stock market involves risks; operate cautiously. This is not investment advice. Reposting requires attribution: From Xiao Tudi Gold Coin Explosion.)