Lost a lot, lying flat, risk is approaching

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Warm reminder: The stock market carries risks; invest cautiously! This article is a record of my investment thoughts, not investment advice. Do not follow it blindly, or you will bear the gains and losses yourself.

  1. Overnight debt model

55 or 333 full position
Buy at the end of the session
Sell after a surge the next day

  1. Today’s trading record (this month -10.5%)

Stop-loss for Qifan, Huate convertible bonds (big loss, still holding)

Today, late in the session, gas and aerospace (55 position) directions (overnight debt at the end of the day, see the next day’s review article!)

  1. Convertible bond sector trend
    Yesterday, the entire network was hyping the tech bull market, but today it was sent to ICU. Yesterday’s index hit a new high with a large volume surge, reaching a tech climax; today, the market oscillated and pulled back. Shenzhen Component Index opened high and fell, STAR 50 index surged then retreated.
    In the morning, the index was relatively weak, with over 4,000 stocks falling, only 43 stocks hitting the daily limit, and trading volume slightly shrinking. I personally feel the Shanghai Composite Index may be due for a correction, so be cautious in the near future.
    In storage chips, US stocks performed okay last night. Today, A-shares’ storage chips showed mild oscillation. The domestically produced chips saw a wave of gains during the session, with China Great Wall hitting the daily limit again, indicating a trend toward domestic chip replacement.
    Today, the strong performer was Stada convertible bonds, which surged over 14% intraday. Related concepts like Huayi convertible bonds, Microguide convertible bonds, Precision Packaging convertible bonds, Yongxi convertible bonds, and Jingce Test 2 mostly declined.
    The core focus of the market remains on hardware. The real core of this hardware wave, Yizhongtian, surged with high volume in the morning. However, most of the sector started to weaken. This hardware rally began with Yizhongtian plus Dongshan and ended with Yizhongtian plus Dongshan, so the probability of a correction in hardware is relatively high. Be cautious of risks in hardware.
    Electronic fabric concepts like Shanshi convertible bonds soared yesterday and fell 11% today. Huate, which surged yesterday, dropped 10% today.
    A new hardware branch, ceramic substrates, also started today. Kexiang Co., Ltd. shot up by over ten points, Mona Lisa convertible bonds rose 11%, with a premium rate reaching an astonishing 112.1%, and no downward revision. The reason for the stock’s rise is that the company shifted from flooring tiles to semiconductor ceramics.
    Computing power leasing declined significantly. The main issue here is the relatively high position and small adjustment. If hardware adjusts next, the computing power leasing sector may also be affected. Related concepts like Aofei, Zhongbei, Yitian, Yingfeng, etc., declined.
    AI application sector performed moderately today, with no issues in trend. This sector is expected to remain active in the coming days. Start reducing positions today to hedge risks, mainly focusing on low-position areas like AI medical, AI applications, or wait for adjustments before acting.

  2. Today’s strong bonds

Huate convertible bonds: Concepts include chips, gases, etc., trend bonds. The convertible bonds declined with reduced volume today but may rebound and surge tomorrow.

Ruike convertible bonds: Concepts include liquid cooling, aerospace, etc., trend bonds. Today, they surged with volume and then fell back; a rebound is possible tomorrow.

Lianrui convertible bonds: Concepts include chips, new stocks, etc., trend bonds. Today, they surged with volume and then fell back; a rebound may occur tomorrow.

Ruifeng convertible bonds: Concepts include PCB, lithium batteries, etc., trend bonds. Today, they surged with volume and then fell back; a rebound could happen tomorrow.

Mona Lisa convertible bonds: Concepts include home furnishings, semiconductor ceramics, etc., trend bonds. Today, they surged with volume and then fell back; a rebound is possible tomorrow.

Jingyuan convertible bonds: Concepts include computing power, environmental protection, etc., trend bonds. Today, they surged with volume and then fell back; a rebound may occur tomorrow.

Huaxing convertible bonds: Concepts include robotics, consumer electronics, etc., trend bonds. Today, they surged with volume and then fell back; a rebound could happen tomorrow.

Special statement: The above is a record of my investment thoughts, not investment advice. Do not follow it blindly, or you will bear the losses yourself. The targets I focus on are for reference only. The mentioned targets are personal interests; buy and sell at your own risk, profit and loss are your own. Do not blindly copy trades.

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Like and tip afterward, earn ten thousand a year. $Titan Convertible Bonds (sz127096)$ $Aofei Convertible Bonds (sz123131)$ $Outong Convertible Bonds (sz123241)$ $Qifan Convertible Bonds (sh111000)$ $Huate Convertible Bonds (sh118033)$

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