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Bitcoin is drifting lower without stopping—has the adjustment truly bottomed out? Both key support and resistance levels are coming under pressure at the same time, and the “long/short battleground watershed” is becoming clearly visible. Every step of the next price move is crucial‼️
Based on Bitcoin’s currently observed decline pattern, the correction still hasn’t finished. In theory, the decline should bottom out around 80000. Only if Bitcoin rebounds quickly and then firmly holds above 81700 can the sideways drift be considered to have wrapped up and a rebound rally can begin. After holding above this pressure level, we can then look at the 82032-82476 range. Breaking through here would create a chance to push toward the prior high of 82600. Even if it can’t get past 817000, maintaining a healthy upward trend will be a bit difficult.
At present, the support at 80350 is still very strong. Multiple retests can hold and support rebounds, but every rebound still can’t set a new high. Upward momentum simply can’t keep up. Once 80350 breaks, the hourly chart’s short-term uptrend will be directly disrupted, and the price will have to search for new support levels lower down. Below that, the strong support is in the 79480-80000 range. If this level also can’t be defended, the bulls’ last line of defense will be only 78100. If the price breaks below this point, the hourly “long/short battleground” trend will effectively end, and getting back above 80000 will be difficult.
$BTC Now, looking at the 4-hour trend: so long as it doesn’t fall below the 79750-82536 ranging box, the selloff won’t expand. Once the box is lost, according to Fibonacci proportions, it will most likely drop to around 78800. If the box doesn’t break, everyone doesn’t need to panic. But once price breaks out of the box, be highly alert— a deep pullback on the 4-hour timeframe is very likely to follow.