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Last chance to escape? Tonight CPI data will cause a stir, tomorrow Trump visits China, how will Bitcoin and Micron MU move? Come and check it out.
1. First, the most important thing: Trump’s visit to China. The market generally expects him to bring billions of dollars in orders, trade agreements, and even a China-mediated US-Iran deal. The crypto market and US stocks surged before the visit. But good days may be coming to an end...
2. “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” The market is very likely to start declining after the good news has been fully priced in, following the China visit. Because these positive expectations have already been priced in, tomorrow is the time to realize gains. Some sectors have already started to fall today, so everyone should be prepared.
3. Our BTC was recommended to short around 82.5k, and we shorted twice. Yesterday, it rebounded to around 82,500. I don’t know if everyone got in; even if you entered earlier at 81.4k, you’re still in profit now. The ideal take-profit level for shorts is around 78,000, with a short-term support at about 80k. For safety, consider taking partial profits in stages.
4. Additionally, Shuqin mentioned a few days ago that the “Three Illusions of Shorting” ZEC, FIL, and ICP have finally collapsed, all dropping 20-30%. I didn’t short ZEC, but I did short ICP and FIL. You could short at any point and still make good profits.
5. Tonight at 8:30, CPI inflation data will be released. Usually, this is bearish, but Trump likes to spin data positively, so I don’t have high expectations for this release. Be prepared for a continuation of the positive news from the China visit. If CPI drops on the downside, that’s ideal. If it rebounds, it’s a good opportunity to add to your short positions.
6. Besides the crypto market, US stocks are also likely to pull back. Yesterday’s show discussed my plan to short MU and GOOGL. As shown in the chart, we actually shorted last night. The price stayed high overnight, and today it immediately started to float in profit. I’m quite happy about that.
7. Our shorts are not heavy positions; we entered gradually. We plan to observe the results in the 2-3 days after the China visit. If prices don’t fall, we’ll take small losses; risk is controllable. Personally, I think there’s a 70-80% chance of a pullback. The risk-reward ratio is good, and I operate in real-time every day.
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