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Recently, I’ve noticed that many people are FOMO-ing into U.S. stocks, chasing price rises in memory and semiconductors. If you’re also planning to switch your holdings, reading this can increase your chances of making money by 23%.
First, let me ask you a question: suppose you currently believe there’s still a 70% probability that chasing SanDisk will rise by 50% 📈, and a 30% probability it will fall by 20% 📉. If you only have 1 million yuan in hand, how much are you planning to invest?
Do you think the win rate is already 70%, so I should go all-in with 1 million yuan, or throw away 30?