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Double Bing Evening Outlook | CPI + Geopolitical Dual Pressure, Volatility Slightly Weak; Light Positions with Strict Stop Losses
Yesterday pushed up then pulled back, with heavy selling pressure at high levels. Today, repeated attempts to test the 2300 level failed to hold, the short-term trend turned from strength to weakness, and the market has entered a correction cycle.
1. U.S. April CPI Core Impact (Key Variable)
• Data expectations: To be released tonight. The market expects CPI at an annual rate of 3.8% and core CPI at an annual rate of 2.7%. The Middle East conflict is pushing oil prices higher, and the risk of inflation re-accelerating is significant.
• Above expectations (inflation “high fever”): Rate-cut expectations cool off, the U.S. dollar strengthens. Double Bing is pressured to dip, testing the 2270 support level. If it breaks below effectively, watch the 2220 range.
• In line with expectations: Sentiment stays cautious, with continued range-bound fluctuations between 2270-2320. Focus mainly on selling high and buying low.
• Below expectations (inflation cools): Rate-cut expectations rebound; a short-term rebound follows, with the market challenging the 2340-2360 resistance zone.
#TROLL两日涨超160% #特朗普5月13日访华 #MARA一季度净亏损13亿美元