The Middle East situation has once again sent out major news, with Iran signaling: if the U.S. acts again, they may increase uranium enrichment to 90%. This means that geopolitical risks are further escalating, and global risk aversion sentiment could also be ignited.

For the crypto market, such news often directly stimulates market sentiment in the short term, especially during the current phase of Bitcoin oscillating at high levels and increasing capital divergence. Once external risk aversion spreads, market volatility will significantly amplify.

From historical patterns, in the early stages of geopolitical conflict escalation, risk assets usually experience panic selling, but as liquidity flows back, Bitcoin is also likely to be rediscovered by some funds as an "alternative safe haven asset," so the market often shows a pattern of "initial sharp decline followed by a rally" with intense shakeouts.

Currently, Bitcoin continues to fluctuate around high levels, which already indicates strong disagreement. Any news or minor changes at this time can become triggers for major players to manipulate and shake out the market. Especially for those with high leverage chasing gains and blindly bottom-fishing, it’s easy to be repeatedly harvested.

Next, focus on two points:

One is whether the Middle East situation will continue to escalate;

Two is whether Bitcoin can hold the key support zone.

If risk aversion sentiment continues to ferment, a short-term fluctuation of a thousand points cannot be ruled out. During this phase, instead of emotionally chasing orders, it’s better to patiently wait for the market to release its emotions before following the rhythm. True opportunity is never about the rise and fall itself, but about remaining calm when others are panicking.