The Middle East situation once again delivers major news: Iran has said that if the U.S. takes action again, it may raise uranium enrichment to 90%. This means that geopolitical risk is further heating up, and global risk-avoidance sentiment could also be ignited in the process.

For the crypto market, news like this often directly stimulates market sentiment in the short term—especially in the current stage when Bitcoin is ranging at high levels and disagreements among capital are intensifying. Once external risk-avoidance sentiment spreads, market volatility will be clearly amplified.
From historical patterns, in the early stages of escalation in geopolitical conflict, risk assets typically first see panic sell-offs. But as liquidity flows back, BTC is also easily re-bid by some funds as an “alternative safe-haven asset,” so the market is likely to experience a drastic shakeout of “sell first, then rebound.”

At present, Bitcoin continues to tug back and forth around the high zone. There is already strong divergence by itself. In such a time, any ripple from the news front will become the fuse for the main players to take advantage of and shake out the market. Especially those chasing longs with high leverage and those blindly bottom-fishing—they are easily swept back and forth for harvesting.

Next, focus on two points:
One is whether the Middle East situation continues to escalate;
Two is whether Bitcoin can hold the key support area.

If risk-avoidance sentiment keeps building momentum, it’s not out of the question that short-term “thousand-point-level” volatility could appear again. In this phase, rather than chasing orders emotionally, it’s better to wait patiently until the market has released its emotion before following the rhythm. The real opportunity has never been about the rise or fall itself—it’s about staying calm when others are panicking.
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