Tonight at 8:30 PM, the only decisive move of the week.

It directly determines the probability of a rate cut in June and also the short-term direction of cryptocurrencies.

Core Premise
The market has already priced in the inflation rebound expectation (low base last April). As long as the data is not extremely and unexpectedly high, the negative impact has been digested, and the bullish structure remains unchanged.

Three Scenario Analyses
1. In line with expectations (high probability)
CPI 3.6%-3.8%, Core 2.6%-2.8%
→ Negative impact materializes, first drops then rises

2. Below expectations (low probability)
CPI <3.5%, Core <2.6%
→ Super bullish, rate cut probability soars to 80%+, dollar plunges, crypto directly surges violently, no chance for a pullback

3. Above expectations (low probability)
CPI >3.9%, Core >2.9%
→ Short-term negative, rate cut expectations fall short, crypto drops 2000 points+

Tong Ge's Strategy

In line with expectations → Place orders to catch the bottom, after the drop is the bottom
Below expectations → Chase at current price, don’t wait for a pullback
Above expectations → Watch more and act less, wait for stabilization before entering $BTC $ETH $SOL