I only take notes on one sentence:


Those on-chain events that look like "coincidental transfers," don't rush to call them insider deals, first break down the path—who first assembled U, which bridge they took, which pool they exchanged in, and who ultimately received it.
Connecting these step by step can generally be explained as "saving on fees / avoiding slippage / diversifying risk / crossing bridges along the way."
The remaining explanations that can't be explained can then be examined with a magnifying glass; as for recently using ETF capital flows and U.S. stock market risk appetite to force interpretations of crypto price movements...
Anyway, I focus on the on-chain footprints first, and only believe macro theories verbally—don't get the order mixed up.
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