Don't be fooled by 81k! After a long period of high-level shrinking volume and persistent resistance, could BTC turn around and strike back?

Brothers, today is May 12. BTC has been grinding at 81,189 for quite a while now. A lot of people see the price sitting above 80,000 and start shouting that the bull is coming back soon—yet in my gut, something just doesn’t feel right. Even though the market has risen a bit, we need to look through the surface and see the underlying reality; this push higher feels more like a show of strength.

📉 Market Reflection: Refuse to Chase High Blindly
4-Hour Chart: From a larger-cycle perspective, although BTC has moved above the MA7, the suppression around 82,000 is unbelievably strong. Every time the price surges upward, it gets ruthlessly slapped back down, leaving a long string of long upper wicks. This is clearly the rhythm of bulls running out of steam and bears launching a counterattack. As long as it can’t steadily break through the previous high resistance zone with volume, this kind of sideways action is a classic bull-trap.

1-Hour Chart: The hourly-level momentum has started to fade. Looking at the latest chart, the price is shuffling higher in small steps at high levels, but trading volume is shrinking—showing a clear top divergence signal. This “inflated” rally is most afraid of sudden negative news; even a small disturbance can trigger a relentless dump of profit-taking.

My exclusive take: Don’t keep fixating on those “falsely inflated” red candles. The current 81k level feels more like a “castle in the air.” Above the market, there are trapped positions waiting to be liquidated for realization, and the profit-taking orders that entered last night are also waiting to cash out. I think within today, BTC will see a wave of a downward “violent dip” to clear out those high-level leveraged positions and test how strong the moving-average support below really is.

🚀 BTC/USDT Current Price: Bearish Strategy
Follow the trend. We’ll reverse and enter at this resistance level, executing with discipline:

Open Position Direction: Short

Suggested Entry Price: 81,189

First Take Profit: 80,377.1 (a retest of the 8万/80,000 psychological level—take half profits first)

Second Take Profit: 79,565.2 (a drop toward the support zone—aim for higher profit)

Hard Stop Loss: 82,406.8 (if price strongly breaks through 82.4万/82,4000—meaning the bulls have flipped—cut losses decisively and exit)

Brothers’ reminder:
Shorting isn’t about being stubborn—it’s about acting only when the signals are clear. The market sentiment right now is too euphoric; we need to be the clear-headed ones. Strictly set and follow your take profit and stop loss—avoid going all-in. If we profit, see you in the comments; if you lose, don’t hold onto losing positions—protect your capital so you’ll have a tomorrow.