Comprehensive Analysis

The Dow Theory indicates the main trend is upward, with a short-term pullback signal, and the key level is the 81,500 ascending trend line.

**Chan Theory** shows a downward stroke in progress, focus on confirming the 81,500 bottom pattern.

Wave Theory suggests that the five-wave upward move is complete, currently in an ABC correction with wave A. The volume-price relationship shows a decreasing volume pullback, observing further.

Order flow indicates that below the POC of 840, the price is at a premium, with Delta skewed bearish.

**Price Action** shows a battle for the double top neckline, with 81,500 as the critical dividing line.

Short-term strategy suggestions:

Bullish scenario: If the price shows increased volume to halt the decline near 81,500 + bottom pattern confirmation + Delta turns positive, consider a small long position, targeting 82,000 → 82,131, with a stop loss at 81,200.

Bearish scenario: If the price effectively breaks below 81,500 with increased volume, confirming the double top + downward stroke extension, consider a short position, targeting 80,800, with a stop loss at 81,800.

Current state: At $81,643, in a zone of ambiguity between bulls and bears, with extremely low trading volume. It is recommended to wait for a clear direction before entering, to avoid blind trading in a volume-consolidation phase. #比特币波动