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Predict's upgraded version of the Traffic King is here
Last week was about predicting the only Traffic King, this week it’s upgraded to who will be in the top three of Xhunt’s popular KOLs, with stronger game theory
The same division into Chinese region and global region
Still sharing my thoughts
First, I am a person who seeks stability, so most of my funds are used to buy certainty, and this week’s top three predictions have one certainty in each market, almost 100%
That is CZ in the Chinese region and Lao Ma in the global region. If last week’s guess about the only Traffic King had a slight chance of a surprise upset, and they occasionally missed the first place,
Then expanding to the top three this week, their chances of unexpectedly dropping out of the top three are negligible
So buying CZ and Lao Ma in these two regions is a stable investment strategy
CZ is currently at 99.3, I will buy at market price and place a limit sell order at 99.7 to earn points
Lao Ma’s certainty is even higher, currently at 99.9, I’ll just place a limit buy order at 99.3, which means earning about 0.7% in investment returns if filled. Even if not filled, I get to enjoy the points
As for the remaining small portion of funds, I might use it to trade the competitors ranked second and third in both regions, which are the focus of competition, allowing for volatility gains.
Since most of these competitors’ current probabilities (i.e., costs) are very low, generally below 10%, even if I buy in, it’s easy to sell later, and if I’m lucky enough to hit the settlement and have guessed correctly, that could mean tenfold or more returns.
Two market entrances
Chinese region:
Global region: