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Diplomatic fog, the risk is still alive
Trump leaves the door open for a deal with Iran, even publicly undermining trust in the other side. This is classic pressure diplomacy: stating that the ceasefire is fragile, then hinting that there’s still a way through it.
⚖️ My assessment is that this keeps the market in a confusing intermediate state. The optimistic scenario is simple: if rhetoric softens and shifts into real negotiations, risk assets will stop pricing in the worst energy and geopolitical shocks. The pessimistic scenario is no less realistic: when both sides call each other unreasonable, headlines can change quickly, and the market hates uncertainty more than bad news. For BTC and ETH, this has less to do with a direct catalyst and more with a volatility trigger — one that can shift sentiment without changing the underlying trend.
👁️🗨️ Brief conclusion: this is not a resolution but an option, and the market will trade this gap before believing in an outcome.
$ZEREBRO $PEPE