Stock Market Today (LIVE): Peace Dividend Evaporates as White House Dismisses Iran Proposal and Oil Jumps 4% to Start the Week

Today’s Highlights

• Happy Monday! MNDY Surges on AI-Driven Efficiency Gain
• Volatile Stock Moves Often Aren’t News
• NTDOY Drops on Conservative Guidance

📌 Top story – scroll down for more updates

Opening Bell

9:35 am

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are catching their breath this Monday following a historic six-week winning streak. Early gains were capped as President Trump dismissed Iran’s latest peace proposal as “totally unacceptable,” reigniting fears of a prolonged conflict. Consequently, West Texas Intermediate futures climbed 1% to over $96 per barrel. Despite the geopolitical friction, investors are leaning on last Friday’s blowout jobs report, where hiring doubled expectations, to support a “secular bull market” thesis. Markets remain near all-time highs as traders weigh a slowing economy against resilient corporate earnings.

• Structural Shock Absorbers: Some analysts argue that while high energy prices may dampen growth, deep-seated structural strengths should prevent a total economic derailment.
• Geopolitical Stalemate: The rejection of Tehran’s 14-point memorandum shifts the focus back to potential supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a key risk factor for global logistics and energy plays.

Market indexes

S&P 500

-0.08%

Nasdaq

-0.21%

Dow

-0.10%

Top of the Morning

9:25 am – CVSA flat in pre-market trading

By Jim Gillies

If you’ve spent any time watching my appearances on Fool24 or are a member of Hidden Gems Canada, where I spend most of my days, you’ll know that my “schtick” is the small, the perhaps strange, the misunderstood. Basically, companies that don’t get a lot of love around Fooldom aside from me.

One such company reported last week, and let’s just say that early results validate that I’ve chosen to recommend it twice in HG Canada. I’m talking about Covista (CVSA 0.73%), the for-profit education company with a focus on medical professions (nurses, doctors, nurse practitioners, veterinarians). If that company name doesn’t seem familiar, you may remember Covista under its prior name, Adtalem Global Education, with the name (and ticker) switch becoming official in February of this year.

The theme from Covista’s fiscal third quarter can probably be summarized as, “We did what we said we were going to do.”

Happy Monday! MNDY Surges on AI-Driven Efficiency Gain

8:00 am – MNDY +19.33% in pre-market trading

Work management powerhouse monday.com (MNDY +11.17%) delivered a robust first-quarter beat, reporting revenue of $351.3 million–a 24% year-over-year increase that handily cleared internal and analyst expectations. Leadership highlighted a strategic shift toward consumption-based pricing and the successful rollout of its AI Work Platform as primary catalysts. Perhaps most significant for the long-term investor is the company’s newfound operating leverage; CFO Eliran Glazer noted that internal AI productivity gains are now allowing the firm to scale top-line revenue without a corresponding increase in headcount. Despite a 190 basis point drag from foreign exchange, non-GAAP operating margins held steady at 14%, signaling a business that is becoming leaner as it grows more complex.

• The Efficiency Inflection Point: By decoupling revenue growth from headcount, the company is demonstrating a software-as-a-service (SaaS) holy grail: widening GAAP operating margins, which doubled to 6% this quarter.
• Cash Flow Machine: The firm generated over $102 million in adjusted free cash flow, providing a massive capital cushion to further invest in autonomous AI agents that “do the work” for its 250,000+ customers.

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NASDAQ: MNDY

Monday.com

Today’s Change

(11.17%) $8.05

Current Price

$80.12

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$3.7B

Day’s Range

$80.12 - $88.11

52wk Range

$57.50 - $316.98

Volume

174K

Avg Vol

2.3M

Gross Margin

89.20%

This Morning’s Breakfast News

7:30 am – GOOG -0.65%, NVDA -0.51% in pre-market trading

Alphabet (GOOG 1.10%) is on the verge of becoming the world’s largest company, says Bloomberg, while “Big Short” investor Michael Burry warns it’s “feeling like the last months of the 1999–2000 bubble.” Alphabet stock has climbed around 150% over the past 12 months, nearly twice as far as current market-cap leader Nvidia’s (NVDA +1.29%) rise.

• “Alphabet holds a significant spot in almost every corner of the AI ecosystem”: Luke O’Neill at CooksonPeirce says this combined with the rest of Alphabet’s offerings “puts it in a prime position to be the biggest winner of AI.” If Nvidia hadn’t ended last week with a three-day surge, the two market caps would have been neck and neck Friday.
• “Stocks are not up or down because of jobs or consumer sentiment”: Burry, meanwhile, added “They are going straight up because they have been going straight up” in a Substack post on Friday. All he could hear on financial TV and radio sources was “absolutely non-stop AI.”

Cirrus Logic Reaches All-Time High on Outlook

6:45 am – CRUS +0.77% in pre-market trading

By CMFGouldberg, Home Fool & Ticker Guide

Cirrus Logic (CRUS +0.38%) wrapped up fiscal year 2026 in strong fashion, beating analyst expectations on both revenue and adjusted EPS in Q4. The company crossed the $2 billion annual revenue threshold for the first time, driven primarily by largest customer Apple (AAPL 0.53%) – which accounted for more than 90% of sales. While that level of customer concentration remains a genuine risk, Cirrus Logic is working to broaden its business, with a fast-growing laptop chip operation, next-generation camera controller chips in development, and a new power management chip being designed in collaboration with Apple for use in facial recognition technology (although this product is still roughly two years from reaching the market). Adding to investor optimism, the company’s guidance for the current quarter came in well above what analysts had been expecting, sending the stock to new all-time highs. For investors, the primary concern (with apologies to the Talking Heads) is the same as it ever was: Can Cirrus Logic continue to execute at a high level for Apple while also building out new revenue streams that could eventually reduce its dependence on that single relationship? I’ll also be keeping an eye on whether Cirrus can manage rising R&D costs and potential tariff headwinds without sacrificing its healthy profit margins and free cash flow.

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NASDAQ: CRUS

Cirrus Logic

Today’s Change

(0.38%) $0.66

Current Price

$172.33

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$8.8B

Day’s Range

$171.87 - $175.74

52wk Range

$92.02 - $179.00

Volume

1.6K

Avg Vol

655K

Gross Margin

54.81%

Mindset Monday: Don’t Monitor Volatile Stocks Too Often

6:00 am – UPST +0.10% in pre-market trading

Member CandiceLee recently wrote on the Hidden Gems Primary Database in relation to Upstart (UPST 2.38%): “I have no idea how to understand any of it, and that’s exactly why I bought into TMF lol. I am a complete dummy at this so I have to trust TMF. That is why I am here and also why I get distressed and confused.”

Home Fool TMFVicki replied with the following:

"Are there companies that you do understand like Starbucks (SBUX +2.29%) or Costco (COST 0.81%) or Apple (AAPL 0.53%)? Do you own any of these? We recommend all three in Stock Advisor.

Not understanding how a finance company works, particularly one that is using AI to determine whether it should offer someone a loan and at what percentage rate, does not make anyone a dummy. It is a specialized field. While it is OK to invest in companies you don’t understand, your level of distress makes it sound like maybe you have too large a position? Being able to sleep at night is important.

Upstart is a young company. It is competing against a lot of big companies. It is making progress. It might be the kind of company that you don’t want to check in on too often. The stock price is going to move around on lots of things that aren’t news about the company."

Today’s Take: CEOs Who Play the Long Game

5:10 am – NET +0.60% in pre-market trading

Here’s a sneak preview, but head to the article to add your vote for the CEO that plays the long game the best, or to submit questions to any of the featured analysts today!

By Jason Moser
Team Rule Breakers

Cloudflare (NET +1.68%) co-founder and CEO Matthew Prince seems 100% committed to the long game. One quick glance at the financials might scare many away. The company has no GAAP profits and even free cash flow takes a hit thanks to stock-based compensation. But once you realize that’s by design, then it starts to make a bit more sense. And we can’t ignore the fact that the company has grown revenue at a 38% annualized rate over the past five years. He may rub some tech leaders the wrong way with his focus on the internet as an open, decentralized space (as opposed to being controlled by “walled gardens”), but the man has vision and drive. I’ve owned shares since 2021 and hope to own them for years to come.

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NYSE: NET

Cloudflare

Today’s Change

(1.68%) $3.29

Current Price

$199.41

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$69B

Day’s Range

$194.02 - $204.18

52wk Range

$136.32 - $260.00

Volume

32K

Avg Vol

4.8M

Gross Margin

73.30%

Switch 2 Price Hike Stalls Nintendo Rally

5:00 am – NTDOY -11.29%

Nintendo (NTDOY +5.93%) shares tumbled more than 11% on Monday after the gaming giant announced a surprise price hike for the Switch 2 and issued a conservative forecast for the year ahead. In response to skyrocketing memory chip costs, the company will raise prices in Japan by ¥10,000 on May 25, followed by a $50 increase in the U.S. starting September 1. While the console sold a record 19.86 million units in its first year, Nintendo expects hardware sales to decline to 16.5 million units for fiscal 2027. Investors are increasingly wary that a lack of confirmed AAA blockbuster titles, combined with higher entry costs for casual gamers, could stall the platform’s momentum in its critical second year.

• Margin Defense over Volume: Management is prioritizing profitability over unit growth by passing off rising component costs to consumers, a risky move as peer Sony (SONY +6.58%) maintains more aggressive pricing for the aging PlayStation 5.
• The “Bar is Low” Strategy: Despite the sell-off, some analysts suggest the downbeat guidance is a defensive play, noting that Nintendo has beaten its initial operating profit forecasts for four consecutive years.

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OTC: NTDOY

Nintendo

Today’s Change

(5.93%) $0.62

Current Price

$11.07

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$48B

Day’s Range

$11.05 - $11.13

52wk Range

$10.39 - $24.92

Volume

496K

Avg Vol

3.1M

Gross Margin

39.17%

Dividend Yield

0.65%

Before the Opening Bell

4:05 am

Stock futures retreated Monday morning as hopes for a swift end to the Iran conflict evaporated following a sharp rebuke from the White House. President Trump dismissed Tehran’s revised peace proposal–which reportedly demanded war reparations and full control of the Strait of Hormuz–as “totally unacceptable,” effectively dashing the “peace dividend” optimism that drove indices to record highs last Friday. In response, Brent crude surged 4.2% to $105.57 per barrel, reigniting inflation fears even as the latest U.S. labor data showed a surprisingly resilient 115,000 new jobs for April. While tech-heavy markets in Asia remained buoyed by the ongoing artificial intelligence boom, the broader global outlook has shifted back to a “higher-for-longer” stance on energy costs and interest rates.

Moderna Gains Amid Hantavirus Vaccine Interest

4:00 am – MRNA +3.99% in pre-market trading

Moderna (MRNA +5.81%) shares rose following renewed attention to potential mRNA-based hantavirus vaccine development. The interest comes after reports of a hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship from Argentina to Cabo Verde highlighted the lack of approved human vaccines for the virus.

• Unconfirmed partnerships drive speculation: Online reports and patent discussions have linked Moderna to early stage mRNA hantavirus research, potentially involving academic and government partners, though detailed program updates have not been widely publicized by the company.
• Biotech sector benefits from outbreak concerns: The stock gained ground amid broader vaccine sector interest following the cruise ship outbreak, with investors focusing on companies positioned to address emerging infectious disease threats through rapid mRNA platform deployment.