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Just noticed something on the charts that's got me thinking. Bitcoin bounced back above $81K today, but if you zoom out, the technicals are telling a different story. There's this nasty bear flag pattern forming on the daily that a lot of traders are watching right now.
The weekly chart is even more concerning - confirmed head and shoulders setup with that neckline break around $82K. If this plays out, we could be looking at some serious downside. The bear flag pattern suggests the next key level to watch is around $65,500, though some analysts are even calling for a dip to $60K given the macro backdrop.
What's got me most concerned is the on-chain data. Miner revenue metrics just entered discount territory, and we're seeing the largest hashrate drop since 2021. Plus there's been a massive flow of BTC into exchanges lately - like 56K to 59K worth in just a couple days. That kind of volume typically means panic selling is starting to kick in.
So yeah, the bounce feels temporary. The bear flag pattern and these on-chain signals suggest the downtrend might have more room to run.