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The market these days is truly a "mental torture" – it doesn't fully go up, nor does it fall deeply, just hovering around, making everyone exhausted.
I scan through groups and see quite a few "masters" setting stop-loss orders for shorts around the 83,000 level.
It's understandable because the 83,000–85,000 zone is a weekly resistance, and technically, it's a perfect place to set stop-losses.
But does the market operate based on the emotions of the majority?
My question is: Is there a scenario where it pushes up exactly to 83,000 to wipe out the short stop-losses and then reverses?
The market always favors liquidity.
Where there are many stop-losses, there is "honey."
If most people think the same and place similar orders, the chance of a stop-loss hunt is entirely possible.
And then what will happen next?
• If it's just a false break and there's no weekly candle closing firmly above 83,000 → it might just be a liquidity sweep.
• If there's a large-bodied candle closing above this zone → the structure will change, and the short side must accept being wrong.
Personally, I don't fully believe in "certain collapse" or "guaranteed breakout."
What I care about is position management.
The market isn't wrong; only I am wrong if I don't follow discipline.
Shorts who are in profit, don't let the psychology of "I'm right" blind you.
And longs, don't FOMO if there's no clear confirmation yet.
In this phase, what's important isn't guessing the top or bottom correctly – but surviving the sweeps.
The market doesn't need to follow the expectations of the majority.
It only needs liquidity.
And if the liquidity is at 83,000… then it's highly likely it will reach that level before deciding the next move.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)