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Polymarket: The probability of confirmed hantavirus cases in the United States this week has risen to 72%
Mars Finance News, on May 11, the prediction market platform Polymarket’s latest data shows that the probability of confirmed Hantavirus cases in the United States by May 15 has risen to 72%, with related market trading volume surpassing $300k. According to market rules, as long as any laboratory-confirmed Hantavirus infection case occurs within the United States, it is considered a “Yes” result, regardless of whether the infection site or symptom onset location is in the U.S. The market primarily uses official information from the U.S. CDC and other authorities as settlement references, and reports with overwhelming consensus from mainstream media can also be used as references. Hantavirus is mainly transmitted through rodents, and severe cases can lead to Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS). Currently, market expectations indicate that traders are betting on the U.S. potentially announcing additional confirmed cases soon.