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I've been tracking something interesting about market bottoming signals that most people overlook. There's this one simple indicator that has basically nailed every major bitcoin bear market bottom since 2015, and honestly, it's wild how reliable it's been.
Think about it - 2015, 2018, 2022 - each time bitcoin was getting absolutely wrecked, this indicator kept flashing the same signal right at the bottom. It's not some complex algorithm or fancy machine learning thing. Just a straightforward metric that tells you when the market is actually bottoming out versus when it's still in freefall.
What makes this even more interesting is that it's been consistently accurate across different market cycles, different regulatory environments, different narratives. Whether it was the ICO crash, the bear market after the 2017 bull run, or the 2022 crypto winter - this indicator kept working.
But here's the thing - and this is what caught my attention recently - that signal still hasn't appeared this cycle. We've had our dumps, our recoveries, the whole emotional rollercoaster. Yet this bottoming indicator remains silent. Some people are reading that as "we haven't hit bottom yet," others are saying the market structure has fundamentally changed.
I'm genuinely curious what happens when it finally does flash. Based on the track record, it could be one of those rare moments where you actually have a legitimate signal for market bottoming rather than just guessing based on sentiment or technical noise.
Worth keeping on your radar if you're thinking about positioning. Sometimes the simplest tools end up being the most reliable ones.