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Just came across something worth paying attention to. There's this one technical indicator that's been eerily accurate at calling Bitcoin's bear market bottoms going back to 2015. Like, every single one. Pretty wild track record.
The thing is, it still hasn't flashed a signal this cycle. Which makes you wonder what that actually means for where we are in this market cycle modified from what we've seen before.
I've been following the crypto market long enough to know that when something works that consistently, people start watching it obsessively. And when it doesn't trigger when maybe they expect it to, that becomes the story itself.
Historically, this indicator has been the kind of thing that catches major bottoms - the kinds of lows that mark real turning points. So the fact that we haven't seen it activate yet is kind of a big deal. It's either telling us something about current market conditions, or maybe the way we should be reading market cycles has shifted.
Either way, it's one of those technical signals worth keeping on your radar if you're trying to understand where Bitcoin might be heading. The historical pattern is too consistent to ignore, even if the current cycle is playing out differently than we might have anticipated.