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Watching BTC hold steady around 81K despite everything falling apart around it. Oil's pushing past 111 a barrel on the Hormuz blockade situation, yet bitcoin just shrugs. Meanwhile ether dropped slightly, XRP actually bounced back up over the week, Solana jumped over 13%, and BNB gained 5%. Only dogecoin struggled a bit. It's wild how bitcoin's dominance climbs when macro stress hits and capital flows into the largest asset.
Some analyst named Turgut pointed out that the supply overhang finally dried up. The sellers who got scared by macro shifts or whatever fears they had already bailed, leaving way fewer sellers in the market than a few months back. Bitcoin's not as sensitive to regulatory noise or central bank policy as people think. It moves based on volatility, and right now we're in a quieter range so there's no panic selling.
Technically, 75K is where things get interesting. That's the floor for the uptrend that's held since late March. If we lose that, more downside could open up. But if we bounce back toward 80K, the rally structure stays intact and sets up another test of that resistance around 80K that's rejected every attempt since February. Fed decision's coming today, ECB tomorrow. Traders are watching if this supply exhaustion holds when the next macro shock hits. If it does, we're trading on volatility not headlines. If it doesn't, 75K gets tested fast.