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"Who will rank first on the XHunt Chinese KOL leaderboard?"
Last week, Predict fun partnered with Xhunt to launch a KOL ranking prediction market, and within just a few days, the trading volume reached 1.6 million🐮
The market settled on May 11th, with CZ ultimately winning with a 100% probability.
Next, little sister will review two of PF's Xhunt markets, and tell you how to play next time👇
🌟 Hot candidate analysis
CZ: Market consensus votes
Most certain, was highly favored by the market from the opening, with the price trend almost steadily maintaining a high level, with only one brief fluctuation that quickly recovered.
The advantage is very high certainty, but the disadvantage is limited odds space, making it more suitable for holding as a financial management position rather than a gambling position.
Justin Sun: Event volatility position
One of the best at creating topics, whether it's hot interactions, project actions, or cross-circle collaborations, it's easy to generate community discussion.
Recent events involving Sun Yuchen and WLFI will also amplify community discussion, and this trait means that if there is a爆点 in the market's final stage, the odds and imagination will be very high.
AB Kuai.Dong: Underestimated dark horse
Content style is high-frequency and close to hot topics, updating global hot spots, crypto news, and industry trends almost daily.
The biggest advantage of this account is its natural proximity to attention; whether it's AI, macro, policies, exchanges, or memes, it can enter discussion streams first.
JackYi / Kill Wolf / Colin Wu / Enheng: Huge traffic but infrequent updates
All four are large traffic accounts within the Chinese crypto circle with a stable audience base, and their content quality is not low, with daily updates.
But compared to players like AB KuaiDong who cover all categories multiple times a day, the pace of about one post per day will clearly be at a disadvantage under XHunt's point accumulation mechanism, making it hard to catch up in total points with high-frequency players.
🌟 Strategy summary of the three KOLs
@Joensmoon (Joe Boss)— Batch NO strategy
The core logic is reverse thinking: only one person can win in a week, all other contestants are NO.
Rather than guessing who will win, it's better to judge who is unlikely to win, and batch place NO limit orders on obviously impossible options. Theoretically, placing 10 NOs, 9 of which will settle profitably, and there's no fear of losing because the judgment is likely correct.
@0xFEI (FEILXIE)— 97.9¢ buy YES strategy in the English zone
His logic compares risks between Chinese and English zones: although CZ is highly likely to be first in the Chinese zone, the gap between first and second is not large, and a sudden upset could cause a flip.
In the English zone, veteran Ma leads in a breakaway style, with higher relative certainty. So he directly buys YES at 97.9% market price in the English zone, earning 2% profit in less than 2 days. To earn points, he also places limit orders above the market at the third tier for 12 hours, earning if filled, and waiting for settlement to earn 2% if not filled.
@ZhanweiC (ZC)— A negative example of strategy execution failure
The strategic judgment itself was correct: CZ is firmly in the top spot, initially placing an order at 95, then dropping to 85 without increasing the position, even though the window for adding positions had already appeared, and he missed it.
The real reason for the loss had nothing to do with market judgment. To incentivize LP market making, he placed a very low-priced limit order on a niche KOL but forgot to cancel it before sleep, ultimately losing 100U.
Two core lessons:
- For limit orders that are clearly likely to lose, they must be canceled before sleep;
- In markets with low liquidity, the risk of being smashed through by very low-priced orders cannot be ignored. While earning LP incentives, risk control must be maintained.