Just noticed Bitcoin got a quick bump when ceasefire news dropped. Classic risk-on bounce whenever geopolitical tensions ease up a bit. But here's the thing - I'm not sure if this rally is actually going to hold.

Everytime we get these temporary relief rallies, people wonder if 'animal spirits' will actually come back to the market. Like, is this just a dead cat bounce or the start of something real? The problem is sentiment doesn't flip that easily. One ceasefire doesn't suddenly make traders confident again if there's still uncertainty hanging over everything.

Bitcoin moved, sure, but I'm watching to see if this has any staying power. Usually these geopolitical bounces fade pretty quick unless there's actual fundamental buying pressure underneath. Right now feels more like traders taking a quick trade than conviction buying.