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Just been watching BTC/USD and it's pretty telling how it keeps getting rejected at 80K. We had two solid attempts last week but the momentum's clearly fading now. Coinbase premium turned negative which basically means US buyers have checked out. The whole market feels sluggish honestly - futures open interest dropped over 1%, volume down 3%, liquidations cooling off. Even the options data is screaming caution with puts getting more expensive. Meanwhile my feed's full of people hedging instead of going all in.
What's interesting is how fragmented this move is. Most alts are bleeding while we're stuck, but DOGE is actually printing money with open interest hitting levels we haven't seen since October. Meanwhile SOL and ADA are getting absolutely hammered with aggressive selling pressure. Even privacy coins like ZEC are down almost 7% in the last day. The only real pop was APE jumping 17% but that feels more like traders hunting liquidations than any real conviction.
Looking at the BTC/USD picture, we're basically waiting to see if this holds or if we slide back into the 70s. Risk reversals show people are betting on more downside for Bitcoin relative to Ethereum. It's one of those days where the market's just... tired you know?