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Powell officially steps down on May 15, and Kevin Wosh takes over. The focus isn’t just on changing people—he could directly flip the table and rewrite the rules.
What style is Wosh?
Neither hawkish nor dovish—he’s a discipline-driven type. He is extremely concerned with the Federal Reserve’s boundaries and the institutional cost, and he is naturally hostile to quantitative easing (QE). His core policy package is to do “rate cuts + balance sheet shrinkage” at the same time: his left hand cuts short-end interest rates to make borrowing cheaper for businesses, while his right hand reduces the balance sheet to pull liquidity out of the system, keeping a lid on inflation. In addition, he is extremely dissatisfied with the Federal Reserve’s “excessive communication,” and he also advocates using new inflation measurement indicators, or leaving room to cut rates later.
If this “mutual tug-of-war” strategy runs smoothly, U.S. stocks will move from broad-based gains into sharp differentiation: borrowing costs come down, but liquidity withdrawal will leave story-only bubble companies short of oxygen—only truly hard-nosed enterprises that can generate profits will be able to get cheap money. Central banks will shift from being the final backstop in financial markets to becoming liquidity gatekeepers, and the threshold for intervention will rise significantly. In the short term, global markets face intense “detox/withdrawal” reactions, and volatility is unavoidable.
The most complicated part is that Wosh explicitly opposes issuing a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC), saying this would be a “bad policy choice.” But at the same time, he admits that digital assets have already become part of the U.S. financial system, and that individuals have also invested in crypto projects like Solana.
In the short term, Wosh’s relatively tight monetary policy could push up the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, creating direct pressure on $BTC . In the long run, his stance against CBDC means private digital assets will have fewer of the strongest competitors. Institutional investors will face a clearer regulatory framework, which may actually accelerate the mainstreaming of cryptocurrencies.
The Powell era has ended, and the logic of global asset pricing is about to be rebuilt. The market may see violent swings. Historical experience shows that leadership transitions at the Federal Reserve are never calm. But for investors with a long-term perspective, this is also a crucial moment to reassess asset allocation. #Gate广场五月交易分享