Most people's brains rely on past experience to calculate things: if they made money before, they'll make money next time; if nothing happened before, nothing will happen this time. This is originally an instinct for the brain to save effort.

But the harsh reality is that life experience is limited, and what we can see is only a tiny part of the world. You think you've grasped the rules of everything, but in fact, you've just stumbled upon a small fragment of the world by chance.
Most people make the same mistake: treating partial fragments as the whole truth, considering short-term market trends as permanent norms, and drawing absurd conclusions based on limited experience.
What is the correct approach? Here are five points.
1. Treat your first win as a probability event. Ask yourself: am I right, or is it just luck?
2. Use trial and error to falsify. Don't increase your bets after just one win.
3. Ask yourself: have I experienced a complete cycle?
4. Replace "I understand" with "I don't understand."
5. Leave room for a safety margin. Stay away from "leverage, all-in, irreversible deadly losses."
Remember, don't let "winning once" deceive you into losing your lifelong luck.