#BTC突破81000美元


The real market trend has never been a straight upward climb. The higher the fluctuation at high levels, the more it is cleaning out weak-handed positions. The market's favorite thing to do is to shake out most people before launching. Remember one thing: the market will not destroy those with understanding, only eliminate emotional traders. Yesterday's overall trend showed a rebound after a high-level consolidation, with the daytime phase continuing to oscillate upward, and in the evening, a strong surge pushed it to a high of 82,460. Then, selling pressure at high levels was released in集中, and again in the early hours of today, a quick dip was followed by a rapid rebound, with the lowest falling near 80,400 before quickly bouncing back. Currently, it is oscillating around 81,400. Ethereum's trend is synchronized, rising to around 2,381 last night before facing resistance, then following Bitcoin's quick pullback, with a low near 2,310. It also showed a bottoming and rebound afterward, now trading above 2,350. Structurally, Ethereum is stronger than Bitcoin, with a faster recovery from dips.

From the 4-hour perspective, Bitcoin is still operating in the upper region of the Bollinger Bands, with MA moving averages remaining bullish and diverging, indicating no problem with the overall trend. The long lower shadow last night was more of a high-level shakeout rather than a trend reversal. Especially after the quick recovery above the middle band following the dip, it shows strong support around 80,400.

Currently, on the 4-hour chart, two key levels need attention:
First is the 80,800-81,000 zone, which has shifted from resistance to short-term support. As long as the 4-hour close does not fall below this, the bullish structure remains intact.
Second is the 82,400-82,600 zone, which is the current strong resistance area. If a volume breakout occurs here, the trend could further open up to the upside, with potential targets of 83,500 or even 84,000.

Trading strategy:
On Monday, focus on buying low around 80,800-80,500, targeting 82,200-82,800, with a stop below 80,300.
If volume breaks through 82,600 and stabilizes, look further to around 83,500.
If it falls below 80,800 and the 4-hour close cannot recover, short-term risk of a pullback to 80,000-79,500.
For Ethereum, focus on buying low around 2,330-2,340, targeting 2,390-2,420, with a stop below 2,300.
BTC0.13%
ETH0.36%
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