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Direction: Cautiously go long. Mainly based on strong net inflows of large-cycle funds (contracts and spot), sustained bullish momentum on MACD, and the price remaining firmly above key moving averages and the middle band of BOLL. However, in the short term, there is a high KDJ dead cross, price pressure at MA5 and the upper BOLL band, and capital outflows within the 1H timeframe. Therefore, caution is necessary, waiting for clearer entry signals.
Entry Timing: 1. Aggressive strategy: If the price is supported at 80900-81100 (the area where MA20 and BOLL middle band overlap) and shows bullish candlestick patterns (such as a bullish engulfing, long lower shadow hammer), consider entering with a small position. 2. Conservative strategy: Wait for the price to increase volume (referencing significantly increased trading volume v on the candlestick) and break above and stabilize at 81500 (recent minor resistance) or 81800 (near MA5), then re-test and confirm it does not break, for a better entry.
Stop Loss Setting: It is recommended to set it 3%-5% below key support levels. If entering in the 80900-81100 area, set the stop loss at 78500-79000 (about 3%-3.5% risk), a position below S2 support that can cover normal fluctuations. If entering after breaking above 81500/81800, set the stop loss below the round number 80000 (about 2%-2.5% risk), which is at the lower BOLL band and S1 support zone.
Target Price Levels: First target: 82000-82500 (BOLL upper band and recent high R1 area), with a return of about 1%-1.6%. Second target: 83600 (R2 resistance level), with a return of about 3%. Ultimate target: 84700-85000 (near R3 resistance level), with a return of about 4.3%-4.7%.