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The outcome of the big model battle has long been decided; probably only one or two will remain in the end, with the winner takes all~
History repeats itself:
Search engines are now left with Google, social media with Meta, e-commerce with Amazon...
Every "technological revolution" ends with a few towering trees emerging from a hundred flowers blooming, and a ground full of fallen leaves~
Big models are no exception~
There are still about a dozen players in the game now, each talking about passion, each pouring in huge investments, each claiming their model is "the strongest"...
But computing power is built by spending money, data is fed by scale, and moats are built over time~
These three factors stacked together set the ceiling for small and medium players, which becomes the floor for leading players~
The one or two that ultimately survive may not be the smartest today, but the ones that can endure, have the most money, and know how to position themselves~
The rest will either be acquired or pivot to vertical applications~
#大模型 #AI competition #OpenAI #Anthropic #科技垄断 #AI bubble