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These days, looking at options markets, I recall an old saying: Who is time value really eating?
The buyer, in simple terms, is racing against time; even if the price moves in the right direction, if the move isn't aggressive enough, they can be worn down slowly;
The seller seems stable, but actually is exchanging tail risk for that feeling of "daily income."
If a spike really hits, all the gains from before might be wiped out, and it might not even be enough.
And recently, with cross-chain bridges being hacked and oracle errors happening, everyone is shouting "wait for confirmation"...
This collective consensus to wait often delays the explosion of volatility.
Buyers fear delays, sellers fear sudden moves.
When the market is noisy, I look at the real needs on the on-chain settlement layer—
It's like checking the weather or reading people's minds, at least it keeps me from being carried away by market sentiment.
Anyway, I now prefer to do less rather than be slowly harvested as a leek by time.