People in the group are again sharing screenshots of "a certain stablecoin losing its peg" or "regulation about to hit." The more they share, the more I want to laugh: I don't know if it will really lose its peg, but anyone who sends out their seed phrase is definitely going to lose… all of it.

Anyway, my three red lines right now are: never enter any website/form with your seed phrase; if you don’t understand the signature, don’t sign it (especially those one-click authorization with unlimited limits); even if a link looks like the official website, I’ll treat it as phishing first—better to miss out on an airdrop than fall for one.
As for what I mean by "long-term," it’s not about quarterly grand narratives, just… surviving a cycle in the group from "it's stable" to "it's over," probably one or two months. Living through it is considered winning.