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Disbelieving in current AI narratives does not mean disbelieving in AI~
The pessimism is about the current position, not the revolution itself~
Any technological revolution follows the same curve (Dunning-Kruger effect)—
At birth: "Changing the world!" At the peak: "Humanity is doomed!" At collapse: "Scam! Bubble! Harvest!" During dormancy: No one mentions it, quietly growing in the corner~
Enlightenment peak: The world has already changed, you haven't noticed~
This is called the Dunning-Kruger effect, also known as humanity's perpetual overestimation and underestimation of new things~
The internet in 1999 "changed the world," in 2001 "died completely," by 2010 it quietly changed how you shop, date, and receive information~
The true disruptive moment of AI is not in today's flood of funding news, but on the day it climbs out of despair—
Back then, no one discussed it anymore because it had already become air~
Now we are on the peak, and the applause is still loud~
#AI #Dunning-Kruger effect #技术革命 #Bubble #长期主义 #Cognition #宏观 #BTC #加密货币 #Enlightenment slope