After Bitcoin’s initial spike higher, it dipped back to around 79k, and over the past two days of the weekend, with short- and medium-term accumulation completed, it started to rebound on reduced volume—almost exactly in line with this week’s path projection! Next, I’ll share overall expectations for the latter half of the rebound:

First, support was confirmed at the lower boundary of the price accumulation; then, because holiday liquidity was insufficient, a short-term distribution phase was initiated (with relatively limited strength, keeping the price steadily running above the midline).
So, the corresponding upper boundary here is quite critical—because 816-818 is not only the first rebound high point of this smaller correction, but also the resonance suppression within the trend cost zone. In the short term, you should still keep expectations for a 15-minute “three-sell” setup. As long as it does not drop below the previous day’s correction low, the medium-term accumulation remains valid.

Second, although the possibility of a downward move is still retained, the room below is limited. The approach remains bearish but not shorting—so long as it does not break below the 77k extreme, the overall view will not change.
The short-term short opportunity is limited to one segment of a small pullback around 816 after running into resistance, but if it closes above 82k, you need to leave immediately—this is a high P/L, trial-and-error situation! Specifically, observe the strength again, and I’ll add other details tomorrow.

Summary:
- Hold your core position; if it retraces to around 79.8/80k, treat it as a new opportunity to add.
- In the absence of clear distribution signs, after breaking 82k, set the final long target to above 83k.
$BTC